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Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

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Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Walz

<1% chance
Polymarket

$2,064,506 Vol.

Walz

<1% chance
Polymarket

$2,064,506 Vol.

Tim Walz and JD Vance are scheduled to participate in a debate hosted by CBS on October 1, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Walz" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates Tim Walz won this debate against JD Vance. This market will resolve to "Vance" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates JD Vance won. If the results are tied, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve to whichever candidate has a higher percentage than the other for the question regarding who performed better in the debate, or who won the debate. Other portions of the poll will not be considered for this market.

If this debate is cancelled, otherwise rescheduled, or does not take place by October 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the results of Ipsos first opinion poll over who won or performed better in the debate released after its conclusion. If Ipsos does not release a poll within a week of the debate (currently October 8, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve based on polling on the debate from Yougov. If Yougov also hasn't released a relevant poll within a week of the debate this market will resolve to "50-50".
Volumen
$2,064,506
Fecha de finalización
Oct 1, 2024
Creado en
Sep 25, 2024, 12:20 PM ET
Tim Walz and JD Vance are scheduled to participate in a debate hosted by CBS on October 1, 2024. This market will resolve to "Walz" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates Tim Walz won this debate against JD Vance. This market will resolve to "Vance" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates JD Vance won. If the results are tied, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve to whichever candidate has a higher percentage than the other for the question regarding who performed better in the debate, or who won the debate. Other portions of the poll will not be considered for this market. If this debate is cancelled, otherwise rescheduled, or does not take place by October 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the results of Ipsos first opinion poll over who won or performed better in the debate released after its conclusion. If Ipsos does not release a poll within a week of the debate (currently October 8, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve based on polling on the debate from Yougov. If Yougov also hasn't released a relevant poll within a week of the debate this market will resolve to "50-50".

Resultado propuesto: Vance

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Vance

Tim Walz and JD Vance are scheduled to participate in a debate hosted by CBS on October 1, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Walz" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates Tim Walz won this debate against JD Vance. This market will resolve to "Vance" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates JD Vance won. If the results are tied, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve to whichever candidate has a higher percentage than the other for the question regarding who performed better in the debate, or who won the debate. Other portions of the poll will not be considered for this market.

If this debate is cancelled, otherwise rescheduled, or does not take place by October 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the results of Ipsos first opinion poll over who won or performed better in the debate released after its conclusion. If Ipsos does not release a poll within a week of the debate (currently October 8, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve based on polling on the debate from Yougov. If Yougov also hasn't released a relevant poll within a week of the debate this market will resolve to "50-50".
Volumen
$2,064,506
Fecha de finalización
Oct 1, 2024
Creado en
Sep 25, 2024, 12:20 PM ET
Tim Walz and JD Vance are scheduled to participate in a debate hosted by CBS on October 1, 2024. This market will resolve to "Walz" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates Tim Walz won this debate against JD Vance. This market will resolve to "Vance" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates JD Vance won. If the results are tied, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve to whichever candidate has a higher percentage than the other for the question regarding who performed better in the debate, or who won the debate. Other portions of the poll will not be considered for this market. If this debate is cancelled, otherwise rescheduled, or does not take place by October 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the results of Ipsos first opinion poll over who won or performed better in the debate released after its conclusion. If Ipsos does not release a poll within a week of the debate (currently October 8, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve based on polling on the debate from Yougov. If Yougov also hasn't released a relevant poll within a week of the debate this market will resolve to "50-50".

Resultado propuesto: Vance

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Vance

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will win the VP debate according to polls?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Who will win the VP debate according to polls?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will win the VP debate according to polls?" has generated $2.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 25, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will win the VP debate according to polls?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Who will win the VP debate according to polls?" is "Who will win the VP debate according to polls?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Who will win the VP debate according to polls?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.