Market icon

¿Estanflación de EE. UU. en 2025?

Market icon

¿Estanflación de EE. UU. en 2025?

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$78,342 Vol.

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$78,342 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both of the following conditions prove true at any point in 2025: 1) The "US recession in 2025?" market resolves to "Yes" (https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-in-2025). 2) The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by 5.0% or more over the 12 month period ending in any month between April 2025 and December 2025 according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm#current) Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will not resolve until all relevant figures are reported for the period of time encompassing December 2025. The resolution sources for this market will be the NBER, BEA (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product), and BLS (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm#current), as well as the "US recession in 2025?" market on Polymarket.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both of the following conditions prove true at any point in 2025:

1) The "US recession in 2025?" market resolves to "Yes" (https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-in-2025).

2) The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by 5.0% or more over the 12 month period ending in any month between April 2025 and December 2025 according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm#current)

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will not resolve until all relevant figures are reported for the period of time encompassing December 2025.

The resolution sources for this market will be the NBER, BEA (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product), and BLS (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm#current), as well as the "US recession in 2025?" market on Polymarket.
Volumen
$78,342
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025
Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2025, 1:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both of the following conditions prove true at any point in 2025: 1) The "US recession in 2025?" market resolves to "Yes" (https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-in-2025). 2) The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by 5.0% or more over the 12 month period ending in any month between April 2025 and December 2025 according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm#current) Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will not resolve until all relevant figures are reported for the period of time encompassing December 2025. The resolution sources for this market will be the NBER, BEA (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product), and BLS (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm#current), as well as the "US recession in 2025?" market on Polymarket.

Resultado propuesto: No

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: No

Disputado

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both of the following conditions prove true at any point in 2025: 1) The "US recession in 2025?" market resolves to "Yes" (https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-in-2025). 2) The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by 5.0% or more over the 12 month period ending in any month between April 2025 and December 2025 according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm#current) Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will not resolve until all relevant figures are reported for the period of time encompassing December 2025. The resolution sources for this market will be the NBER, BEA (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product), and BLS (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm#current), as well as the "US recession in 2025?" market on Polymarket.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both of the following conditions prove true at any point in 2025:

1) The "US recession in 2025?" market resolves to "Yes" (https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-in-2025).

2) The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by 5.0% or more over the 12 month period ending in any month between April 2025 and December 2025 according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm#current)

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will not resolve until all relevant figures are reported for the period of time encompassing December 2025.

The resolution sources for this market will be the NBER, BEA (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product), and BLS (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm#current), as well as the "US recession in 2025?" market on Polymarket.
Volumen
$78,342
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025
Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2025, 1:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both of the following conditions prove true at any point in 2025: 1) The "US recession in 2025?" market resolves to "Yes" (https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-in-2025). 2) The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by 5.0% or more over the 12 month period ending in any month between April 2025 and December 2025 according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm#current) Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will not resolve until all relevant figures are reported for the period of time encompassing December 2025. The resolution sources for this market will be the NBER, BEA (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product), and BLS (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm#current), as well as the "US recession in 2025?" market on Polymarket.

Resultado propuesto: No

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: No

Disputado

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Estanflación de EE. UU. en 2025?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Habrá estanflación en EE. UU. en 2025?" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 0¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Estanflación de EE. UU. en 2025?" ha generado $78.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 14, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Estanflación de EE. UU. en 2025?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Estanflación de EE. UU. en 2025?" es "¿Habrá estanflación en EE. UU. en 2025?" con solo 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Estanflación de EE. UU. en 2025?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.