With quarterfinal first legs looming on April 9 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, trader consensus favors Crystal Palace at 40% implied probability to reach the final, buoyed by their dramatic 2-1 aggregate round-of-16 win over AEK Larnaca after extra time and home advantage at Selhurst Park against Fiorentina. Strasbourg sits close at 35%, having topped the league phase and scraped through 3-2 aggregate versus Rijeka, now holding second-leg hosting rights versus Mainz. Fiorentina's pedigree as two-time runners-up (32%) and dominant 4-2 aggregate over Raków offset their away start, while Shakhtar Donetsk (31%), Rayo Vallecano (31%), Mainz (31%), AEK Athens (30%), and AZ Alkmaar (29%) reflect a competitive field shaped by recent defensive resilience in two-legged ties and European experience.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoCrystal Palace
41%
Estrasburgo
35%
Fiorentina
32%
Shakhtar Donetsk
31%
Rayo Vallecano
31%
Mainz
31%
AEK Atenas
30%
AZ Alkmaar
29%
$2,748 Vol.
Crystal Palace
41%
Estrasburgo
35%
Fiorentina
32%
Shakhtar Donetsk
31%
Rayo Vallecano
31%
Mainz
31%
AEK Atenas
30%
AZ Alkmaar
29%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa Conference League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa Conference League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With quarterfinal first legs looming on April 9 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, trader consensus favors Crystal Palace at 40% implied probability to reach the final, buoyed by their dramatic 2-1 aggregate round-of-16 win over AEK Larnaca after extra time and home advantage at Selhurst Park against Fiorentina. Strasbourg sits close at 35%, having topped the league phase and scraped through 3-2 aggregate versus Rijeka, now holding second-leg hosting rights versus Mainz. Fiorentina's pedigree as two-time runners-up (32%) and dominant 4-2 aggregate over Raków offset their away start, while Shakhtar Donetsk (31%), Rayo Vallecano (31%), Mainz (31%), AEK Athens (30%), and AZ Alkmaar (29%) reflect a competitive field shaped by recent defensive resilience in two-legged ties and European experience.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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