Trader consensus favors Arsenal at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League, closely trailed by Bayern Munich (21.5%) and Barcelona (16.5%), reflecting the tight quarter-final draw announced March 18 that pits top seeds against formidable foes: Arsenal vs. Sporting CP, Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid, Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid, and PSG vs. Liverpool. Arsenal's edge stems from their dominant round-of-16 aggregate win over Bayer Leverkusen, showcasing strong home form and attacking depth, while Bayern's sharp March surge under Vincent Kompany—highlighted by an eight-goal round-of-16 thrashing of Atalanta—has narrowed the gap despite a blockbuster clash with Real Madrid. Barcelona's steady knockout progression and PSG's firepower keep the race competitive, with no team holding a clear path to the semi-finals amid high-stakes ties starting April 7.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoArsenal 27%
Bayern de Múnich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$222,535,320 Vol.
$222,535,320 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern de Múnich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atlético de Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern de Múnich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$222,535,320 Vol.
$222,535,320 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern de Múnich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atlético de Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Arsenal at 26.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League, closely trailed by Bayern Munich (21.5%) and Barcelona (16.5%), reflecting the tight quarter-final draw announced March 18 that pits top seeds against formidable foes: Arsenal vs. Sporting CP, Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid, Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid, and PSG vs. Liverpool. Arsenal's edge stems from their dominant round-of-16 aggregate win over Bayer Leverkusen, showcasing strong home form and attacking depth, while Bayern's sharp March surge under Vincent Kompany—highlighted by an eight-goal round-of-16 thrashing of Atalanta—has narrowed the gap despite a blockbuster clash with Real Madrid. Barcelona's steady knockout progression and PSG's firepower keep the race competitive, with no team holding a clear path to the semi-finals amid high-stakes ties starting April 7.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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