Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability that Tractor Supply (TSCO) will miss Q1 2026 earnings consensus of $0.35 EPS and $3.64 billion revenue, due primarily to the Q4 2025 results reporting $0.43 EPS versus $0.46 expected amid 0.3% comparable store sales growth—nearly flat—and a trailing four-quarter negative earnings surprise average of 2.8%. Soft rural consumer spending on discretionary items, weather volatility, and tariff pressures have prompted slight downward revisions in analyst estimates over the past 30 days, tempering expectations despite fiscal 2026 guidance for 4-6% net sales growth and 9.3-9.6% operating margins. The April 21 release remains the key catalyst, with focus on comp sales and margin dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWill Tractor Supply (TSCO) beat quarterly earnings?
Will Tractor Supply (TSCO) beat quarterly earnings?
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 abr 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 abr 2026
As of market creation, Tractor Supply is estimated to release earnings on April 21, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Tractor Supply's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.35 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tractor Supply reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.35 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Tractor Supply releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability that Tractor Supply (TSCO) will miss Q1 2026 earnings consensus of $0.35 EPS and $3.64 billion revenue, due primarily to the Q4 2025 results reporting $0.43 EPS versus $0.46 expected amid 0.3% comparable store sales growth—nearly flat—and a trailing four-quarter negative earnings surprise average of 2.8%. Soft rural consumer spending on discretionary items, weather volatility, and tariff pressures have prompted slight downward revisions in analyst estimates over the past 30 days, tempering expectations despite fiscal 2026 guidance for 4-6% net sales growth and 9.3-9.6% operating margins. The April 21 release remains the key catalyst, with focus on comp sales and margin dynamics.
As of market creation, Tractor Supply is estimated to release earnings on April 21, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Tractor Supply's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.35 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tractor Supply reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.35 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Tractor Supply releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Tractor Supply releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volumen
$818Fecha de finalización
21 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Tractor Supply is estimated to release earnings on April 21, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Tractor Supply's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.35 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tractor Supply reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.35 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Tractor Supply releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability that Tractor Supply (TSCO) will miss Q1 2026 earnings consensus of $0.35 EPS and $3.64 billion revenue, due primarily to the Q4 2025 results reporting $0.43 EPS versus $0.46 expected amid 0.3% comparable store sales growth—nearly flat—and a trailing four-quarter negative earnings surprise average of 2.8%. Soft rural consumer spending on discretionary items, weather volatility, and tariff pressures have prompted slight downward revisions in analyst estimates over the past 30 days, tempering expectations despite fiscal 2026 guidance for 4-6% net sales growth and 9.3-9.6% operating margins. The April 21 release remains the key catalyst, with focus on comp sales and margin dynamics.
As of market creation, Tractor Supply is estimated to release earnings on April 21, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Tractor Supply's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.35 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tractor Supply reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.35 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Tractor Supply releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Tractor Supply releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volumen
$818Fecha de finalización
21 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability that Tractor Supply (TSCO) will miss Q1 2026 earnings consensus of $0.35 EPS and $3.64 billion revenue, due primarily to the Q4 2025 results reporting $0.43 EPS versus $0.46 expected amid 0.3% comparable store sales growth—nearly flat—and a trailing four-quarter negative earnings surprise average of 2.8%. Soft rural consumer spending on discretionary items, weather volatility, and tariff pressures have prompted slight downward revisions in analyst estimates over the past 30 days, tempering expectations despite fiscal 2026 guidance for 4-6% net sales growth and 9.3-9.6% operating margins. The April 21 release remains the key catalyst, with focus on comp sales and margin dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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