Market icon

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

Market icon

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

Harris by 1.5-1.9 99.6%

Harris by 0-0.9 <1%

Trump lead <1%

Harris by 2-2.4 <1%

Polymarket

$766,614 Vol.

Harris by 1.5-1.9 99.6%

Harris by 0-0.9 <1%

Trump lead <1%

Harris by 2-2.4 <1%

Polymarket

$766,614 Vol.

Trump lead

$147,364 Vol.

No

Harris by 0-0.9

$117,970 Vol.

No

Harris by 1-1.4

$161,779 Vol.

No

Harris by 1.5-1.9

$87,420 Vol.

Yes

Harris by 2-2.4

$126,654 Vol.

No

Harris by 2.5+

$125,428 Vol.

No

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +0.0 (inclusive) and Harris +0.9 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +1.0 (inclusive) and Harris +1.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +1.5 (inclusive) and Harris +1.9 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +2 (inclusive) and Harris +2.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris 2.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET.

Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.

If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
Volumen
$766,614
Fecha de finalización
Aug 30, 2024
Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2024, 3:37 PM ET
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +0.0 (inclusive) and Harris +0.9 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +1.0 (inclusive) and Harris +1.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +1.5 (inclusive) and Harris +1.9 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +2 (inclusive) and Harris +2.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris 2.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Harris by 1.5-1.9" con 100%, seguido de "Trump lead" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?" ha generado $766.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 22, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?" es "Harris by 1.5-1.9" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Trump lead" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.