Harris by 1.6-2.0 100.0%
Trump by 0.5+ <1%
Trump by 0-0.4 <1%
Harris by 0.1-0.5 <1%
$845,714 Vol.
$845,714 Vol.
Sep 20, 2024
Trump by 0.5+
No
Trump by 0-0.4
No
Harris by 0.1-0.5
No
Harris by 0.6-1.0
No
Harris by 1.1-1.5
No
Harris by 1.6-2.0
Yes
Harris by 2.1-2.5
No
Harris by >2.5
No
Harris by 1.6-2.0 100.0%
Trump by 0.5+ <1%
Trump by 0-0.4 <1%
Harris by 0.1-0.5 <1%
$845,714 Vol.
$845,714 Vol.
Sep 20, 2024
Trump by 0.5+
$60,591 Vol.
No
Trump by 0-0.4
$79,667 Vol.
No
Harris by 0.1-0.5
$70,540 Vol.
No
Harris by 0.6-1.0
$75,289 Vol.
No
Harris by 1.1-1.5
$149,946 Vol.
No
Harris by 1.6-2.0
$138,949 Vol.
Yes
Harris by 2.1-2.5
$123,963 Vol.
No
Harris by >2.5
$146,770 Vol.
No
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
Creado en: Sep 10, 2024, 5:15 PM ET
Volumen
$845,714Fecha de finalización
Sep 20, 2024Creado en
Sep 10, 2024, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Frequently Asked Questions