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¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?

Market icon

¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?

Subió

>99% chance
Polymarket

$7,668 Vol.

Subió

>99% chance
Polymarket

$7,668 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 6, 2026, than on January 30, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on January 30, 2026, than on February 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$7,668
Fecha de finalización
Feb 7, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 9:49 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 6, 2026, than on January 30, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on January 30, 2026, than on February 6, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado propuesto: Subió

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Subió

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 6, 2026, than on January 30, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on January 30, 2026, than on February 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$7,668
Fecha de finalización
Feb 7, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 9:49 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on February 6, 2026, than on January 30, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on January 30, 2026, than on February 6, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado propuesto: Subió

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Subió

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Bitcoin's price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 100% for "Subió." A price of 100% means the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Bitcoin price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?," decide whether you believe Bitcoin's price at noon ET on February 6 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Bitcoin's price at noon ET on January 30. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

This daily window has closed and resolved. The final outcome was "Subió." Use the time-range navigation bar at the top of this page to view adjacent windows or find the current live market.

The "¿La aprobación de Trump sube o baja esta semana?" market resolves based on a comparison of Bitcoin's price at noon ET on February 6 versus noon ET on January 30, using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the February 6 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.