Trump traders show near-unanimous consensus on President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating falling in the 39.0–39.4% range on April 3, 2026, as the daily polling average—prioritizing recent national surveys of adults—confirmed a fresh dip below 40% for the first time in his second term. This commanding position stems from the past week's incorporation of polls reflecting no "rally-around-the-flag" boost amid the Iran war escalation, with gas prices surpassing $4 per gallon, mortgage rates climbing for a fifth straight week, and a partial DHS shutdown fueling economic discontent; net economy approval hit a record-low -23.2. While finalized once April 4 data posts, shifts would require anomalous late polls overturning the trend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTrump approval rating on April 3?
Trump approval rating on April 3?
39.0–39.4 100.0%
<39.0 <1%
39.5–39.9 <1%
40.0–40.4 <1%
$205,456 Vol.
$205,456 Vol.
<39.0
<1%
39.0–39.4
100%
39.5–39.9
<1%
40.0–40.4
<1%
40.5–40.9
<1%
41.0+
<1%
39.0–39.4 100.0%
<39.0 <1%
39.5–39.9 <1%
40.0–40.4 <1%
$205,456 Vol.
$205,456 Vol.
<39.0
<1%
39.0–39.4
100%
39.5–39.9
<1%
40.0–40.4
<1%
40.5–40.9
<1%
41.0+
<1%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trump traders show near-unanimous consensus on President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating falling in the 39.0–39.4% range on April 3, 2026, as the daily polling average—prioritizing recent national surveys of adults—confirmed a fresh dip below 40% for the first time in his second term. This commanding position stems from the past week's incorporation of polls reflecting no "rally-around-the-flag" boost amid the Iran war escalation, with gas prices surpassing $4 per gallon, mortgage rates climbing for a fifth straight week, and a partial DHS shutdown fueling economic discontent; net economy approval hit a record-low -23.2. While finalized once April 4 data posts, shifts would require anomalous late polls overturning the trend.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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