**Mayes Middleton's dominant 39.1% finish in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas Attorney General, fueled by nearly $14 million in self-funding and heavy TV ad buys branding him as "MAGA Mayes," has solidified trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability for the May 26 runoff victory.** U.S. Rep. Chip Roy's 31.6% second-place showing, bolstered by endorsements from Ted Cruz, Lauren Boebert, and Matt Gaetz, trails amid fundraising gaps leaving him with under $250,000 post-primary after transfers. Recent attack ads highlight Roy's impeachment vote against Trump and Middleton's lack of courtroom experience, but low expected runoff turnout favors Middleton's spending edge in reaching sparse voters. No major polls have emerged since certification, underscoring financial momentum as the key driver.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMayes Middleton
74%
Chip Roy
18%
Mayes Middleton
74%
Chip Roy
18%
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mayes Middleton's dominant 39.1% finish in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas Attorney General, fueled by nearly $14 million in self-funding and heavy TV ad buys branding him as "MAGA Mayes," has solidified trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability for the May 26 runoff victory.** U.S. Rep. Chip Roy's 31.6% second-place showing, bolstered by endorsements from Ted Cruz, Lauren Boebert, and Matt Gaetz, trails amid fundraising gaps leaving him with under $250,000 post-primary after transfers. Recent attack ads highlight Roy's impeachment vote against Trump and Middleton's lack of courtroom experience, but low expected runoff turnout favors Middleton's spending edge in reaching sparse voters. No major polls have emerged since certification, underscoring financial momentum as the key driver.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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