Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward silver (SI) settling below $50 in June at 16.5% implied probability, driven by persistent USD strength—now near 105 on the DXY index—and delayed Fed rate cuts following robust US jobs data, capping upside from current spot prices around $29.80 per ounce. Mid-range outcomes like $60-$70 (14.2%) and $50-$60 (13.3%) compete closely, reflecting balanced bets on steady industrial demand from solar and electronics amid China stimulus hopes, versus supply gluts from Peru and Mexico. Tail risks above $80 (42.8% combined) hinge on geopolitical flares or ETF inflows, with June FOMC minutes as the pivotal differentiator for breakout potential.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿En qué se liquidará Silver (SI) en junio?
¿En qué se liquidará Silver (SI) en junio?
<$50 17%
$60-$70 14.2%
$50-$60 13.3%
>$115 12%
$392,901 Vol.
$392,901 Vol.
<$50
17%
$50-$60
13%
$60-$70
14%
$70-$80
11%
$80-$90
11%
$90-$100
9%
$100-$115
9%
>$115
12%
<$50 17%
$60-$70 14.2%
$50-$60 13.3%
>$115 12%
$392,901 Vol.
$392,901 Vol.
<$50
17%
$50-$60
13%
$60-$70
14%
$70-$80
11%
$80-$90
11%
$90-$100
9%
$100-$115
9%
>$115
12%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward silver (SI) settling below $50 in June at 16.5% implied probability, driven by persistent USD strength—now near 105 on the DXY index—and delayed Fed rate cuts following robust US jobs data, capping upside from current spot prices around $29.80 per ounce. Mid-range outcomes like $60-$70 (14.2%) and $50-$60 (13.3%) compete closely, reflecting balanced bets on steady industrial demand from solar and electronics amid China stimulus hopes, versus supply gluts from Peru and Mexico. Tail risks above $80 (42.8% combined) hinge on geopolitical flares or ETF inflows, with June FOMC minutes as the pivotal differentiator for breakout potential.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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