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SBF reduced sentence because autism?

Market icon

SBF reduced sentence because autism?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$184,917 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$184,917 Vol.

Samuel Bankman-Fried is due to be sentenced on March 28, 2024, as a result of the verdict reached in the 2023 "United States of America v. Samuel Bankman-Fried" trial.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF's sentence in this case is shorter than it would be otherwise because he is autistic. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the judge's/court's comments during the initial sentencing. For this market to resolve to "Yes", the sentencing judge/court must explicitly mention that autism is a specific mitigating factor during his sentencing. Vague references to medical or psychiatric disorders will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

If sentencing doesn't occur in 2024, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the presiding court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$184,917
Fecha de finalización
Mar 28, 2024
Creado en
Feb 28, 2024, 12:46 PM ET
Samuel Bankman-Fried is due to be sentenced on March 28, 2024, as a result of the verdict reached in the 2023 "United States of America v. Samuel Bankman-Fried" trial. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF's sentence in this case is shorter than it would be otherwise because he is autistic. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the judge's/court's comments during the initial sentencing. For this market to resolve to "Yes", the sentencing judge/court must explicitly mention that autism is a specific mitigating factor during his sentencing. Vague references to medical or psychiatric disorders will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". If sentencing doesn't occur in 2024, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the presiding court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Samuel Bankman-Fried is due to be sentenced on March 28, 2024, as a result of the verdict reached in the 2023 "United States of America v. Samuel Bankman-Fried" trial.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF's sentence in this case is shorter than it would be otherwise because he is autistic. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the judge's/court's comments during the initial sentencing. For this market to resolve to "Yes", the sentencing judge/court must explicitly mention that autism is a specific mitigating factor during his sentencing. Vague references to medical or psychiatric disorders will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

If sentencing doesn't occur in 2024, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the presiding court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$184,917
Fecha de finalización
Mar 28, 2024
Creado en
Feb 28, 2024, 12:46 PM ET
Samuel Bankman-Fried is due to be sentenced on March 28, 2024, as a result of the verdict reached in the 2023 "United States of America v. Samuel Bankman-Fried" trial. This market will resolve to "Yes" if SBF's sentence in this case is shorter than it would be otherwise because he is autistic. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the judge's/court's comments during the initial sentencing. For this market to resolve to "Yes", the sentencing judge/court must explicitly mention that autism is a specific mitigating factor during his sentencing. Vague references to medical or psychiatric disorders will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". If sentencing doesn't occur in 2024, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the presiding court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Disputado

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"SBF reduced sentence because autism?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SBF reduced sentence because autism?" has generated $184.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 28, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SBF reduced sentence because autism?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "SBF reduced sentence because autism?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "SBF reduced sentence because autism?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.