Trader consensus favors Aaron Judge at 35% implied probability for 2026 AL MVP, driven by his back-to-back wins in 2024-25 and potential three-peat rarity akin to Barry Bonds, bolstered by elite power-hitting, home run chasing, and the Yankees' projected contention in a loaded AL East. Bobby Witt Jr. trails at 21.5%, reflecting his elite all-around profile—back-to-back 8+ fWAR seasons, 30/30 potential, Gold Glove defense at shortstop, and Royals' rising AL Central hopes after recent playoff pushes. Contenders like Cal Raleigh (7.5%) gain from catcher power surges and Mariners' lineup fit, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (9.5%) eyes a rebound in Toronto's offense; recent preseason projections and odds releases from late March reinforce Judge's edge amid healthy rosters and no major injury reports.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoAaron Judge 35%
Bobby Witt Jr. 22%
Cal Raleigh 15%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
$42,126 Vol.
$42,126 Vol.
Aaron Judge
35%
Bobby Witt Jr.
22%
Cal Raleigh
15%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Mike Trout
8%
Yordan Alvarez
8%
Corey Seager
7%
Jose Ramirez
6%
Gunnar Henderson
7%
Julio Rodriguez
9%
Aaron Judge 35%
Bobby Witt Jr. 22%
Cal Raleigh 15%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
$42,126 Vol.
$42,126 Vol.
Aaron Judge
35%
Bobby Witt Jr.
22%
Cal Raleigh
15%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Mike Trout
8%
Yordan Alvarez
8%
Corey Seager
7%
Jose Ramirez
6%
Gunnar Henderson
7%
Julio Rodriguez
9%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Aaron Judge at 35% implied probability for 2026 AL MVP, driven by his back-to-back wins in 2024-25 and potential three-peat rarity akin to Barry Bonds, bolstered by elite power-hitting, home run chasing, and the Yankees' projected contention in a loaded AL East. Bobby Witt Jr. trails at 21.5%, reflecting his elite all-around profile—back-to-back 8+ fWAR seasons, 30/30 potential, Gold Glove defense at shortstop, and Royals' rising AL Central hopes after recent playoff pushes. Contenders like Cal Raleigh (7.5%) gain from catcher power surges and Mariners' lineup fit, while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (9.5%) eyes a rebound in Toronto's offense; recent preseason projections and odds releases from late March reinforce Judge's edge amid healthy rosters and no major injury reports.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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