Incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek holds commanding leads in early general election polling against top Republican primary contenders like Christine Drazan, Ed Diehl, and Chris Dudley, with February FM3 Research surveys showing her ahead 43–45% to 35–40% among likely voters, reflecting Oregon's longstanding Democratic lean and incumbency advantages in a vote-by-mail state with high turnout. Despite vulnerabilities including a recent loss of endorsements from the Oregon Education Association and Working Families Party in early March, worsening homelessness, and middling approval ratings around 48%, trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 87% amid a crowded GOP primary on May 19 that risks producing a weaker nominee. A unified Republican challenger or late scandal could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Oregón
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Oregón
$11,450 Vol.
$11,450 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
87%
Republicano
13%
$11,450 Vol.
$11,450 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$6,050 Vol.
87%
Republicano
$5,400 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek holds commanding leads in early general election polling against top Republican primary contenders like Christine Drazan, Ed Diehl, and Chris Dudley, with February FM3 Research surveys showing her ahead 43–45% to 35–40% among likely voters, reflecting Oregon's longstanding Democratic lean and incumbency advantages in a vote-by-mail state with high turnout. Despite vulnerabilities including a recent loss of endorsements from the Oregon Education Association and Working Families Party in early March, worsening homelessness, and middling approval ratings around 48%, trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 87% amid a crowded GOP primary on May 19 that risks producing a weaker nominee. A unified Republican challenger or late scandal could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$11,450Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek holds commanding leads in early general election polling against top Republican primary contenders like Christine Drazan, Ed Diehl, and Chris Dudley, with February FM3 Research surveys showing her ahead 43–45% to 35–40% among likely voters, reflecting Oregon's longstanding Democratic lean and incumbency advantages in a vote-by-mail state with high turnout. Despite vulnerabilities including a recent loss of endorsements from the Oregon Education Association and Working Families Party in early March, worsening homelessness, and middling approval ratings around 48%, trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 87% amid a crowded GOP primary on May 19 that risks producing a weaker nominee. A unified Republican challenger or late scandal could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$11,450Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek holds commanding leads in early general election polling against top Republican primary contenders like Christine Drazan, Ed Diehl, and Chris Dudley, with February FM3 Research surveys showing her ahead 43–45% to 35–40% among likely voters, reflecting Oregon's longstanding Democratic lean and incumbency advantages in a vote-by-mail state with high turnout. Despite vulnerabilities including a recent loss of endorsements from the Oregon Education Association and Working Families Party in early March, worsening homelessness, and middling approval ratings around 48%, trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 87% amid a crowded GOP primary on May 19 that risks producing a weaker nominee. A unified Republican challenger or late scandal could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes