Trader consensus heavily favors 72–73 million views on day 4 for MrBeast's latest video, "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000," uploaded October 19, driven by its explosive early momentum surpassing 60 million views in the first 72 hours, aligning with his historical benchmarks where mega-challenges routinely hit 70–80 million by day 4. Supporting factors include YouTube algorithm boosts from high engagement rates—likes and comments flooding in at record paces—and minimal competition during the weekend slot, though slight dips into 71–72 million reflect trader caution over potential saturation in the survival stunt genre. Recent X buzz highlights viral clips amplifying shares, but no major scandals or external events threaten the trajectory, positioning outliers like 75 million+ as low-probability moonshots. Key watch: views update at midnight UTC.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado# of views of next MrBeast video day 4?
# of views of next MrBeast video day 4?
72–73M 80%
71–72M 18%
73–74M 2.5%
70–71M 1.9%
$842,610 Vol.
$842,610 Vol.
Mar 25, 2026
<69M
<1%
69–70M
<1%
70–71M
2%
71–72M
18%
72–73M
80%
73–74M
2%
74–75M
<1%
75M+
<1%
72–73M 80%
71–72M 18%
73–74M 2.5%
70–71M 1.9%
$842,610 Vol.
$842,610 Vol.
Mar 25, 2026
<69M
$117,264 Vol.
<1%
69–70M
$175,804 Vol.
<1%
70–71M
$191,565 Vol.
2%
71–72M
$98,642 Vol.
18%
72–73M
$33,054 Vol.
80%
73–74M
$33,835 Vol.
2%
74–75M
$86,629 Vol.
<1%
75M+
$107,641 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Volumen
$842,610Fecha de finalización
Mar 25, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volumen
$842,610Fecha de finalización
Mar 25, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 72–73 million views on day 4 for MrBeast's latest video, "Last to Leave Their Circle Wins $500,000," uploaded October 19, driven by its explosive early momentum surpassing 60 million views in the first 72 hours, aligning with his historical benchmarks where mega-challenges routinely hit 70–80 million by day 4. Supporting factors include YouTube algorithm boosts from high engagement rates—likes and comments flooding in at record paces—and minimal competition during the weekend slot, though slight dips into 71–72 million reflect trader caution over potential saturation in the survival stunt genre. Recent X buzz highlights viral clips amplifying shares, but no major scandals or external events threaten the trajectory, positioning outliers like 75 million+ as low-probability moonshots. Key watch: views update at midnight UTC.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes