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Política·Elecciones Alemanas

Next Chancellor of Germany?

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Política·Elecciones Alemanas

Next Chancellor of Germany?

Friedrich Merz (CDU) 100.0%

Robert Habeck (Greens) <1%

Jan van Aken (The Left) <1%

Christian Lindner (FDP) <1%

Polymarket

$40,890,461 Vol.

Friedrich Merz (CDU) 100.0%

Robert Habeck (Greens) <1%

Jan van Aken (The Left) <1%

Christian Lindner (FDP) <1%

Polymarket

$40,890,461 Vol.

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Robert Habeck (Greens)

$4,469,234 Vol.

No

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Jan van Aken (The Left)

$3,638,280 Vol.

No

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Christian Lindner (FDP)

$4,150,680 Vol.

No

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Heidi Reichinnek (The Left)

$9,431,118 Vol.

No

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Friedrich Merz (CDU)

$8,653,917 Vol.

Yes

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Olaf Scholz (SPD)

$2,731,767 Vol.

No

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Alice Weidel (AfD)

$7,815,464 Vol.

No

German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert Habeck is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jan van Aken is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Christian Lindner is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Heidi Reichinnek is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Friedrich Merz is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Olaf Scholz is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alice Weidel is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert Habeck is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jan van Aken is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Christian Lindner is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Heidi Reichinnek is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Friedrich Merz is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Olaf Scholz is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alice Weidel is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Chancellor of Germany? " es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Friedrich Merz (CDU)" con 100%, seguido de "Robert Habeck (Greens)" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next Chancellor of Germany? " ha generado $40.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 16, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next Chancellor of Germany? ", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Chancellor of Germany? " es "Friedrich Merz (CDU)" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Robert Habeck (Greens)" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Chancellor of Germany? " definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.