Oklahoma City Thunder lead trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for Western Conference champion after clinching the No. 1 seed with a 61-16 record, bolstered by their dominant 139-96 rout of the Lakers on April 2 where Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 28 points in a balanced attack. San Antonio Spurs hold 26.4% as the No. 2 seed at 59-18, two games back, driven by Victor Wembanyama's superstar duel with Nikola Jokic but tempered by their 136-134 overtime loss to Denver on April 4. Nuggets sit at 11.5% following Jokic's 40-point masterpiece, gaining momentum amid a favorable late schedule despite bench injuries like Peyton Watson's hamstring strain. Minnesota (4.5%) and Houston (2.5%) round out contenders with play-in avoidance secured, while Lakers' 1.9% reflects playoff doubts despite the No. 3 seed after their blowout defeat. With playoffs starting April 18, home-court advantages and first-round matchups loom large.