Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Microsoft (MSFT) shares to close the week of March 23 in the $370-$380 range at 52% implied probability, reflecting caution over stretched valuations (forward P/E above 35x) despite robust Q1 fiscal 2025 earnings showing 16% revenue growth and 33% Azure expansion. Shares rallied post-October 30 report to over $420 before retracing to around $416 amid Nasdaq rotation to small caps and resilient labor data delaying aggressive Fed rate cuts. Analyst price targets averaging $500 have seen modest downward revisions, with no major catalysts until Q2 earnings in late January 2025, positioning mid-370s as the market-implied base case amid macro uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$370-$380 54%
$360-$370 28%
$380-$390 9%
$350-$360 5.5%
< $340
1%
$340-$350
2%
$350-$360
6%
$360-$370
28%
$370-$380
54%
$380-$390
9%
$390-$400
2%
$400-$410
1%
$410-$420
1%
$420-$430
1%
>$430
<1%
$370-$380 54%
$360-$370 28%
$380-$390 9%
$350-$360 5.5%
< $340
1%
$340-$350
2%
$350-$360
6%
$360-$370
28%
$370-$380
54%
$380-$390
9%
$390-$400
2%
$400-$410
1%
$410-$420
1%
$420-$430
1%
>$430
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Microsoft (MSFT) shares to close the week of March 23 in the $370-$380 range at 52% implied probability, reflecting caution over stretched valuations (forward P/E above 35x) despite robust Q1 fiscal 2025 earnings showing 16% revenue growth and 33% Azure expansion. Shares rallied post-October 30 report to over $420 before retracing to around $416 amid Nasdaq rotation to small caps and resilient labor data delaying aggressive Fed rate cuts. Analyst price targets averaging $500 have seen modest downward revisions, with no major catalysts until Q2 earnings in late January 2025, positioning mid-370s as the market-implied base case amid macro uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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