Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for the open U.S. Senate seat vacated by longtime incumbent Dick Durbin, positioning her as the clear favorite in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 2010. Her commanding market position reflects strong party infrastructure support, including backing from Gov. J.B. Pritzker, a substantial fundraising lead over Republican nominee Don Tracy, and consistent polling advantages in a reliably Democratic electorate. Tracy, the former state GOP chair, won his primary but faces structural headwinds typical for Republicans in Illinois general elections. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or dramatic national political shifts remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the current trader consensus before November voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Illinois
$25,262 Vol.
$25,262 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
95%
Republicano
3%
$25,262 Vol.
$25,262 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$12,850 Vol.
95%
Republicano
$12,412 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for the open U.S. Senate seat vacated by longtime incumbent Dick Durbin, positioning her as the clear favorite in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 2010. Her commanding market position reflects strong party infrastructure support, including backing from Gov. J.B. Pritzker, a substantial fundraising lead over Republican nominee Don Tracy, and consistent polling advantages in a reliably Democratic electorate. Tracy, the former state GOP chair, won his primary but faces structural headwinds typical for Republicans in Illinois general elections. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or dramatic national political shifts remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the current trader consensus before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$25,262Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for the open U.S. Senate seat vacated by longtime incumbent Dick Durbin, positioning her as the clear favorite in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 2010. Her commanding market position reflects strong party infrastructure support, including backing from Gov. J.B. Pritzker, a substantial fundraising lead over Republican nominee Don Tracy, and consistent polling advantages in a reliably Democratic electorate. Tracy, the former state GOP chair, won his primary but faces structural headwinds typical for Republicans in Illinois general elections. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or dramatic national political shifts remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the current trader consensus before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$25,262Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for the open U.S. Senate seat vacated by longtime incumbent Dick Durbin, positioning her as the clear favorite in a state that has not elected a Republican senator since 2010. Her commanding market position reflects strong party infrastructure support, including backing from Gov. J.B. Pritzker, a substantial fundraising lead over Republican nominee Don Tracy, and consistent polling advantages in a reliably Democratic electorate. Tracy, the former state GOP chair, won his primary but faces structural headwinds typical for Republicans in Illinois general elections. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or dramatic national political shifts remain the primary factors that could realistically alter the current trader consensus before November voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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