Name: How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?
Start: 2024-12-04T21:35:43.559024Z
End: 2025-02-28T12:00:00Z

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This is a negrisk market group over how many men Lily Phillips will have sex with in one day.

Lily Phillips recently announced her intention to have sex with 1,000 men in a single day (https://x.com/lilyphillip_s/status/1861893961888956787).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lily Phillips successfully has sex with between 500 (inclusive) and 749 (inclusive) men at this event by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Lily Phillips cancels the attempt, or otherwise schedules the event for a time after February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first such attempt made by Lily Phillips.

This market's resolution source is information released by Lily Phillips or her official representatives.

500-749

Lily Phillips recently announced her intention to have sex with 1,000 men in a single day (https://x.com/lilyphillip_s/status/1861893961888956787).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lily Phillips successfully has sex with between 1 (inclusive) and 249 (inclusive) men at this event by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Lily Phillips cancels the attempt, or otherwise schedules the event for a time after February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first such attempt made by Lily Phillips.

This market's resolution source is information released by Lily Phillips or her official representatives.

1-249

Lily Phillips recently announced her intention to have sex with 1,000 men in a single day (https://x.com/lilyphillip_s/status/1861893961888956787).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the event where Lily Phillips is supposed to have sex with 1000 men in a single 24 hour period is cancelled, or is rescheduled for a date after or otherwise doesn't happen by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event occurs but the number of men Lily Phillips had sex with is not announced, this market will resolve to "Yes".

This market will resolve based on the first such attempt made by Lily Phillips.

This market's resolution source is information released by Lily Phillips or her official representatives.

Doesn't Happen

Lily Phillips recently announced her intention to have sex with 1,000 men in a single day (https://x.com/lilyphillip_s/status/1861893961888956787).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lily Phillips successfully has sex with between 250 (inclusive) and 499 (inclusive) men at this event by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Lily Phillips cancels the attempt, or otherwise schedules the event for a time after February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first such attempt made by Lily Phillips.

This market's resolution source is information released by Lily Phillips or her official representatives.

250-499

Lily Phillips recently announced her intention to have sex with 1,000 men in a single day (https://x.com/lilyphillip_s/status/1861893961888956787).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lily Phillips successfully has sex with between 750 (inclusive) and 999 (inclusive) men in a single 24 hour period by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Lily Phillips cancels the attempt, or otherwise schedules the event for a time after February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first such attempt made by Lily Phillips.

This market's resolution source is information released by Lily Phillips or her official representatives.

750-999

Lily Phillips recently announced her intention to have sex with 1,000 men in a single day (https://x.com/lilyphillip_s/status/1861893961888956787).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lily Phillips successfully has sex with 1000 or more men in a single 24 hour period by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Lily Phillips cancels the attempt, or otherwise schedules the event for a time after February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the first such attempt made by Lily Phillips.

This market's resolution source is information released by Lily Phillips or her official representatives.

1000 or more

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison is confirmed to be in a romantic relationship with any man between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Confirmation must come directly from Caroline Ellison or their official representative(s), or a wide consensus of credible reporting. 

¿Nuevo novio de Caroline Ellison antes del 31 de enero?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dua Lipa and Callum Turner's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Dua Lipa and Callum Turner, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any sex tape featuring  Nick Fuentes, is made public between December 6, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Qualifying "sex tapes" must be video footage involving sexual acts directly depicting the genitals of any individual(s) shown. The video must be authentic, not animated or AI-altered.

The primary resolution source will be publicly released video, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Se filtrará un video sexual de Nick Fuentes antes del 31 de marzo?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alix Earle and Tom Brady are confirmed to be in a romantic relationship by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Confirmation must come directly from Alix Earle or Tom Brady or their official representative(s), and may come through public statements, social media posts, etc.

¿Alix Earle y Tom Brady confirmaron relación antes del 30 de junio?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Kylie Jenner is engaged to be married to Timothée Chalamet by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.  

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Kylie Jenner and/or Timothée Chalamet or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

¿Kylie Jenner y Timothée Chalamet se comprometieron en 2026?

The CDC reported a general fertility rate of 53.7 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q2 2025 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm). 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q3 2025 exceeds 53.7, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

If the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q3 2025 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q3 2025, regardless of any subsequent revisions.

The resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.

¿Aumentó la tasa de fertilidad en EE.UU. en el tercer trimestre de 2025?

On Dec 12, Hailee Steinfeld revealed she was pregnant (see: https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/47289078/buffalo-bills-josh-allen-hailee-steinfeld-pregnant).

This market will resolve to "Boy" if Josh Allen, Hailee Steinfeld, or one of their official representatives announces that they are having a boy.

This market will resolve to "Girl" if Josh Allen, Hailee Steinfeld, or one of their official representatives announces that they are having a girl.

If the biological sex of Hailee Steinfeld's child remains undisclosed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".

If Steinfeld gives birth to more than one child from this pregnancy, this market will resolve based on the biological sex of the children. If all children are of the same biological sex, the market will resolve as "Boy" if all are male, or "Girl" if all are female. If the children are of different sexes, the market will resolve to "50-50".

This market refers only to the current pregnancy. Any future pregnancies will not be considered for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Josh Allen and Hailee Steinfeld however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

¿Bebé de Josh Allen y Hailee Steinfeld: niño o niña?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.

A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.

The following will not qualify:

- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.

- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.

- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.

¿La lista de clientes de Epstein será publicada antes del 30 de junio?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade are confirmed to be in a romantic relationship between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Confirmation must come directly from Jacob Elordi or Olivia Jade or their official representative(s), and may come through public statements, social media posts, etc.

¿Jacob Elordi y Olivia Jade confirmaron su relación antes del 30 de junio?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zendaya and Tom Holland's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Zendaya and Tom Holland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.

Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.

¿Otro bebé de Elon antes del 30 de junio?

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025-26 EPL season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". 

Goals scored in Premier League matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., FA Cup, Carabao Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. 

If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

¿Será Erling Haaland el máximo goleador de la temporada 2025–26 de la Premier League?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zendaya announces that she is pregnant between market creation, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.    

The resolution source will be statements from Zendaya or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

¿Zendaya confirma embarazo antes del 30 de junio?

Container shipping through the Suez Canal has been severely impacted since late 2023 due to security concerns in the Red Sea related to Houthi attacks, with major carriers rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope. Prior to these concerns, the Suez Canal Authority (SCA) reported 5,847 container ship transits of the canal for the full year of 2023, for an average of about 1,461 container ship transits per quarter. Following the Houthi attacks, the number of container ships transiting the canal has dropped significantly, with a reported average of around 437 container ship transits of the canal per quarter in 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 1000 or more container ship transits of the Suez Canal during the first quarter of 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be the Suez Canal Authority (SCA), specifically the number of “Container Ships” reported in the SCA “Quarter Number & Net Ton by Ship Type” report for Q1 2026 (https://www.suezcanal.gov.eg/English/Navigation/Pages/NavigationStatistics.aspx). If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another SCA resolution source may be chosen. If the SCA does not publish specific data on the number of container ship transits of the Suez Canal for the first quarter of 2026 by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, credible third-party maritime data providers (e.g., IMF PortWatch, Clarkson Research, or Lloyd's List), citing SCA figures or satellite tracking data, will be used to determine the count, with the relevant time period being January 1, 2026 through March 31, 2026.

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

1000 or more
$485,157 Vol.
No

750-999
$314,153 Vol.
No

500-749
$125,387 Vol.
No

250-499
$217,159 Vol.
No

1-249
$244,927 Vol.
No

Doesn't Happen
$390,963 Vol.
Yes

Contexto del Mercado

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

Reglas

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

Contexto del Mercado

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

Acerca de

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

1000 or more$485,157 Vol.No

750-999$314,153 Vol.No

500-749$125,387 Vol.No

250-499$217,159 Vol.No

1-249$244,927 Vol.No

Doesn't Happen$390,963 Vol.Yes

Contexto del Mercado

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

Reglas

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

Contexto del Mercado

How many men will Lily Phillips have sex with in one day?

Acerca de

1000 or more
$485,157 Vol.
No

750-999
$314,153 Vol.
No

500-749
$125,387 Vol.
No

250-499
$217,159 Vol.
No

1-249
$244,927 Vol.
No

Doesn't Happen
$390,963 Vol.
Yes