Trader consensus on Polymarket places 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 16, 2026, backed by confirmed observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) at the official Songshan Airport station, which recorded the daily peak at 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and occasional showers. This follows a warm spell under stable high-pressure systems driving 30–31°C highs through April 14–15, but a passing frontal boundary introduced cloud cover and light precipitation that suppressed daytime heating despite southerly winds. With sunset past and evening temperatures dropping to the low 20s°C, model consensus and historical diurnal patterns indicate negligible chance of exceeding 28°C; only an anomalous late-afternoon sensor revision could challenge this, though CWA data updates remain stable. Final daily report expected shortly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 16 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 16 de abril?
28°C 100.0%
26°C o menos <1%
27°C <1%
29°C <1%
$109,994 Vol.
$109,994 Vol.
16 abr 2026
26°C o menos
No
27°C
No
28°C
Sí
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C o más
No
28°C 100.0%
26°C o menos <1%
27°C <1%
29°C <1%
$109,994 Vol.
$109,994 Vol.
16 abr 2026
26°C o menos
$8,762 Vol.
No
27°C
$16,085 Vol.
No
28°C
$20,851 Vol.
Sí
29°C
$14,061 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,141 Vol.
No
31°C
$18,303 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,967 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,834 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,401 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,260 Vol.
No
36°C o más
$4,329 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket places 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 16, 2026, backed by confirmed observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) at the official Songshan Airport station, which recorded the daily peak at 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and occasional showers. This follows a warm spell under stable high-pressure systems driving 30–31°C highs through April 14–15, but a passing frontal boundary introduced cloud cover and light precipitation that suppressed daytime heating despite southerly winds. With sunset past and evening temperatures dropping to the low 20s°C, model consensus and historical diurnal patterns indicate negligible chance of exceeding 28°C; only an anomalous late-afternoon sensor revision could challenge this, though CWA data updates remain stable. Final daily report expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volumen
$109,994Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket places 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 16, 2026, backed by confirmed observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) at the official Songshan Airport station, which recorded the daily peak at 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and occasional showers. This follows a warm spell under stable high-pressure systems driving 30–31°C highs through April 14–15, but a passing frontal boundary introduced cloud cover and light precipitation that suppressed daytime heating despite southerly winds. With sunset past and evening temperatures dropping to the low 20s°C, model consensus and historical diurnal patterns indicate negligible chance of exceeding 28°C; only an anomalous late-afternoon sensor revision could challenge this, though CWA data updates remain stable. Final daily report expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$109,994Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket places 100% implied probability on 28°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 16, 2026, backed by confirmed observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) at the official Songshan Airport station, which recorded the daily peak at 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and occasional showers. This follows a warm spell under stable high-pressure systems driving 30–31°C highs through April 14–15, but a passing frontal boundary introduced cloud cover and light precipitation that suppressed daytime heating despite southerly winds. With sunset past and evening temperatures dropping to the low 20s°C, model consensus and historical diurnal patterns indicate negligible chance of exceeding 28°C; only an anomalous late-afternoon sensor revision could challenge this, though CWA data updates remain stable. Final daily report expected shortly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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