Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Taipei's highest temperature reaching 34°C or higher on April 14, driven by confirmed observational data from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) at the resolving station, Taipei Songshan Airport, where midday readings exceeded 34°C under persistent mostly clear skies. A dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge has promoted sinking air and minimal cloud cover, intensifying solar heating amid urban heat island effects in Taipei, far surpassing the typical April average high of 26°C. Recent CWA updates project daytime highs of 29–32°C regionally, but localized peaks confirm the threshold breach. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data adjustments from quality control, though final CWA observations expected by evening lock in the outcome with negligible uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 14?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 14?
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$108,629 Vol.
$108,629 Vol.
14 abr 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
Yes
34°C or higher 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$108,629 Vol.
$108,629 Vol.
14 abr 2026
24°C or below
$2,679 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,671 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,130 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,927 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,403 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,862 Vol.
No
30°C
$13,063 Vol.
No
31°C
$12,244 Vol.
No
32°C
$18,714 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,920 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$28,016 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Taipei's highest temperature reaching 34°C or higher on April 14, driven by confirmed observational data from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) at the resolving station, Taipei Songshan Airport, where midday readings exceeded 34°C under persistent mostly clear skies. A dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge has promoted sinking air and minimal cloud cover, intensifying solar heating amid urban heat island effects in Taipei, far surpassing the typical April average high of 26°C. Recent CWA updates project daytime highs of 29–32°C regionally, but localized peaks confirm the threshold breach. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data adjustments from quality control, though final CWA observations expected by evening lock in the outcome with negligible uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$108,629Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Taipei's highest temperature reaching 34°C or higher on April 14, driven by confirmed observational data from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) at the resolving station, Taipei Songshan Airport, where midday readings exceeded 34°C under persistent mostly clear skies. A dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge has promoted sinking air and minimal cloud cover, intensifying solar heating amid urban heat island effects in Taipei, far surpassing the typical April average high of 26°C. Recent CWA updates project daytime highs of 29–32°C regionally, but localized peaks confirm the threshold breach. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data adjustments from quality control, though final CWA observations expected by evening lock in the outcome with negligible uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$108,629Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Taipei's highest temperature reaching 34°C or higher on April 14, driven by confirmed observational data from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) at the resolving station, Taipei Songshan Airport, where midday readings exceeded 34°C under persistent mostly clear skies. A dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge has promoted sinking air and minimal cloud cover, intensifying solar heating amid urban heat island effects in Taipei, far surpassing the typical April average high of 26°C. Recent CWA updates project daytime highs of 29–32°C regionally, but localized peaks confirm the threshold breach. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data adjustments from quality control, though final CWA observations expected by evening lock in the outcome with negligible uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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