Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the official observational data from São Paulo–Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR), where automated weather station measurements confirmed a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 15 amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This outcome aligns precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of few clouds and highs near 26–28°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge, which limited convective heating typical for autumn in southeastern Brazil, where April highs average 24–26°C. Model consensus from numerical weather prediction systems like GFS and ECMWF anticipated no significant warm-air advection. With data finalized, revision risks are negligible barring rare sensor recalibration, though traders monitor INMET quality checks for final validation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 15 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 15 de abril?
27°C 100.0%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$93,212 Vol.
$93,212 Vol.
15 abr 2026
22°C o menos
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Sí
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C o más
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$93,212 Vol.
$93,212 Vol.
15 abr 2026
22°C o menos
$9,857 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,996 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,678 Vol.
No
25°C
$18,680 Vol.
No
26°C
$19,323 Vol.
No
27°C
$14,383 Vol.
Sí
28°C
$7,282 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,499 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,042 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,724 Vol.
No
32°C o más
$2,747 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the official observational data from São Paulo–Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR), where automated weather station measurements confirmed a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 15 amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This outcome aligns precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of few clouds and highs near 26–28°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge, which limited convective heating typical for autumn in southeastern Brazil, where April highs average 24–26°C. Model consensus from numerical weather prediction systems like GFS and ECMWF anticipated no significant warm-air advection. With data finalized, revision risks are negligible barring rare sensor recalibration, though traders monitor INMET quality checks for final validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$93,212Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the official observational data from São Paulo–Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR), where automated weather station measurements confirmed a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 15 amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This outcome aligns precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of few clouds and highs near 26–28°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge, which limited convective heating typical for autumn in southeastern Brazil, where April highs average 24–26°C. Model consensus from numerical weather prediction systems like GFS and ECMWF anticipated no significant warm-air advection. With data finalized, revision risks are negligible barring rare sensor recalibration, though traders monitor INMET quality checks for final validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$93,212Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the official observational data from São Paulo–Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR), where automated weather station measurements confirmed a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 15 amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This outcome aligns precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of few clouds and highs near 26–28°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge, which limited convective heating typical for autumn in southeastern Brazil, where April highs average 24–26°C. Model consensus from numerical weather prediction systems like GFS and ECMWF anticipated no significant warm-air advection. With data finalized, revision risks are negligible barring rare sensor recalibration, though traders monitor INMET quality checks for final validation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes