Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 18 reaching 68°F or higher, driven by National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) showing a peak of 72°F by 2:45 p.m. local time under mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds, following a steady daytime warmup from morning lows near 50°F. This aligns with NWS forecast models projecting highs near 71–74°F amid high-pressure ridging and minimal marine layer influence. Realistic challenges—such as sudden coastal fog advection or unexpected cloud cover—appear improbable at this stage, with several hours of peak solar heating remaining before sunset around 7:45 p.m.; final ASOS data will confirm resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 18 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 18 de abril?
68°F or higher 100.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$38,301 Vol.
$38,301 Vol.
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
100%
68°F or higher 100.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$38,301 Vol.
$38,301 Vol.
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 18 reaching 68°F or higher, driven by National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) showing a peak of 72°F by 2:45 p.m. local time under mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds, following a steady daytime warmup from morning lows near 50°F. This aligns with NWS forecast models projecting highs near 71–74°F amid high-pressure ridging and minimal marine layer influence. Realistic challenges—such as sudden coastal fog advection or unexpected cloud cover—appear improbable at this stage, with several hours of peak solar heating remaining before sunset around 7:45 p.m.; final ASOS data will confirm resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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