Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, reflecting observational data from official meteorological stations already surpassing this threshold amid persistent dry-season conditions. April climatology shows average highs of 32–33°C, driven by high pressure, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover that maximize solar heating, with historical records rarely falling below 32°C on clear days. Hourly METAR reports confirm midday peaks above 32°C, solidifying the market-implied probability near 100%. Realistic challenges would involve an anomalous evening cool front or measurement anomaly—both improbable given stable upper-air patterns and model consensus from NOAA analogs—but final Wunderground daily summary will confirm resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Panama City on April 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 15?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$22,954 Vol.
$22,954 Vol.
15 abr 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$22,954 Vol.
$22,954 Vol.
15 abr 2026
22°C or below
$3,249 Vol.
No
23°C
$284 Vol.
No
24°C
$298 Vol.
No
25°C
$440 Vol.
No
26°C
$406 Vol.
No
27°C
$436 Vol.
No
28°C
$666 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,357 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,761 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,485 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$3,573 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, reflecting observational data from official meteorological stations already surpassing this threshold amid persistent dry-season conditions. April climatology shows average highs of 32–33°C, driven by high pressure, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover that maximize solar heating, with historical records rarely falling below 32°C on clear days. Hourly METAR reports confirm midday peaks above 32°C, solidifying the market-implied probability near 100%. Realistic challenges would involve an anomalous evening cool front or measurement anomaly—both improbable given stable upper-air patterns and model consensus from NOAA analogs—but final Wunderground daily summary will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volumen
$22,954Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, reflecting observational data from official meteorological stations already surpassing this threshold amid persistent dry-season conditions. April climatology shows average highs of 32–33°C, driven by high pressure, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover that maximize solar heating, with historical records rarely falling below 32°C on clear days. Hourly METAR reports confirm midday peaks above 32°C, solidifying the market-implied probability near 100%. Realistic challenges would involve an anomalous evening cool front or measurement anomaly—both improbable given stable upper-air patterns and model consensus from NOAA analogs—but final Wunderground daily summary will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,954Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport, reflecting observational data from official meteorological stations already surpassing this threshold amid persistent dry-season conditions. April climatology shows average highs of 32–33°C, driven by high pressure, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover that maximize solar heating, with historical records rarely falling below 32°C on clear days. Hourly METAR reports confirm midday peaks above 32°C, solidifying the market-implied probability near 100%. Realistic challenges would involve an anomalous evening cool front or measurement anomaly—both improbable given stable upper-air patterns and model consensus from NOAA analogs—but final Wunderground daily summary will confirm resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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