Official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's designated station—confirm the highest temperature on April 12 reached exactly 15°C, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid cloudy conditions and scattered showers across southeast England. This aligns with forecast model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF, which projected daytime highs of 14–15°C under a weak high-pressure ridge, consistent with mid-April climatological averages of around 14°C maximums at Heathrow and central London sites. Regional outlier at Northolt (16.5°C) does not affect resolution, as markets adhere strictly to specified station data. Revisions to provisional records are exceedingly rare post-24 hours, though instrument recalibration could theoretically prompt minor adjustments. Final ratification expected within days via Met Office archives.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 12 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 12 de abril?
15°C 100.0%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$303,572 Vol.
$303,572 Vol.
8°C o menos
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Sí
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C o más
No
15°C 100.0%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$303,572 Vol.
$303,572 Vol.
8°C o menos
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Sí
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's designated station—confirm the highest temperature on April 12 reached exactly 15°C, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid cloudy conditions and scattered showers across southeast England. This aligns with forecast model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF, which projected daytime highs of 14–15°C under a weak high-pressure ridge, consistent with mid-April climatological averages of around 14°C maximums at Heathrow and central London sites. Regional outlier at Northolt (16.5°C) does not affect resolution, as markets adhere strictly to specified station data. Revisions to provisional records are exceedingly rare post-24 hours, though instrument recalibration could theoretically prompt minor adjustments. Final ratification expected within days via Met Office archives.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes