Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature on April 14, backed by the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) official hourly observations confirming this peak at Observatory headquarters around 2 p.m. HKT and matching readings at stations like Cheung Chau and Tsing Yi. Sustained sunny skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering above-normal warming in line with HKO's April-June forecast for elevated temperatures amid 2026's hot-year outlook, drove the reading—surpassing April climatological averages of 25–26°C. Realistic challenges are slim, limited to rare post-release data revisions from quality control detecting sensor anomalies, with final validation typically firm within 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 14?
29°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$266,152 Vol.
$266,152 Vol.
14 abr 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$266,152 Vol.
$266,152 Vol.
14 abr 2026
20°C or below
$2,702 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,489 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,219 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,328 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,283 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,524 Vol.
No
26°C
$21,123 Vol.
No
27°C
$81,053 Vol.
No
28°C
$57,875 Vol.
No
29°C
$47,171 Vol.
Yes
30°C or higher
$35,386 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature on April 14, backed by the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) official hourly observations confirming this peak at Observatory headquarters around 2 p.m. HKT and matching readings at stations like Cheung Chau and Tsing Yi. Sustained sunny skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering above-normal warming in line with HKO's April-June forecast for elevated temperatures amid 2026's hot-year outlook, drove the reading—surpassing April climatological averages of 25–26°C. Realistic challenges are slim, limited to rare post-release data revisions from quality control detecting sensor anomalies, with final validation typically firm within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volumen
$266,152Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature on April 14, backed by the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) official hourly observations confirming this peak at Observatory headquarters around 2 p.m. HKT and matching readings at stations like Cheung Chau and Tsing Yi. Sustained sunny skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering above-normal warming in line with HKO's April-June forecast for elevated temperatures amid 2026's hot-year outlook, drove the reading—surpassing April climatological averages of 25–26°C. Realistic challenges are slim, limited to rare post-release data revisions from quality control detecting sensor anomalies, with final validation typically firm within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$266,152Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 29°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature on April 14, backed by the Hong Kong Observatory's (HKO) official hourly observations confirming this peak at Observatory headquarters around 2 p.m. HKT and matching readings at stations like Cheung Chau and Tsing Yi. Sustained sunny skies under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering above-normal warming in line with HKO's April-June forecast for elevated temperatures amid 2026's hot-year outlook, drove the reading—surpassing April climatological averages of 25–26°C. Realistic challenges are slim, limited to rare post-release data revisions from quality control detecting sensor anomalies, with final validation typically firm within 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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