The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement confirms a maximum air temperature of 27°C on April 11, 2026, recorded at its King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with a southerly airstream and early-morning readings near 26°C, amid normal to above-normal April conditions forecasted by the Observatory, where mean maximums typically hover around 26°C amid variable cloud cover suppressing extremes. Historical April data shows peaks rarely exceeding 30°C without heatwaves, and no such event occurred here. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a data revision from quality-controlled observations or dispute over the reference site could shift it, with next daily summary expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 11 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 11 de abril?
27°C 100.0%
20°C o menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$192,509 Vol.
$192,509 Vol.
11 abr 2026
20°C o menos
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Sí
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o más
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C o menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$192,509 Vol.
$192,509 Vol.
11 abr 2026
20°C o menos
$2,426 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,415 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,881 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,011 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,562 Vol.
No
25°C
$13,096 Vol.
No
26°C
$24,553 Vol.
No
27°C
$60,166 Vol.
Sí
28°C
$34,786 Vol.
No
29°C
$24,606 Vol.
No
30°C o más
$16,007 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement confirms a maximum air temperature of 27°C on April 11, 2026, recorded at its King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with a southerly airstream and early-morning readings near 26°C, amid normal to above-normal April conditions forecasted by the Observatory, where mean maximums typically hover around 26°C amid variable cloud cover suppressing extremes. Historical April data shows peaks rarely exceeding 30°C without heatwaves, and no such event occurred here. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a data revision from quality-controlled observations or dispute over the reference site could shift it, with next daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$192,509Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement confirms a maximum air temperature of 27°C on April 11, 2026, recorded at its King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with a southerly airstream and early-morning readings near 26°C, amid normal to above-normal April conditions forecasted by the Observatory, where mean maximums typically hover around 26°C amid variable cloud cover suppressing extremes. Historical April data shows peaks rarely exceeding 30°C without heatwaves, and no such event occurred here. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a data revision from quality-controlled observations or dispute over the reference site could shift it, with next daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$192,509Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The Hong Kong Observatory's official measurement confirms a maximum air temperature of 27°C on April 11, 2026, recorded at its King's Park reference station, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with a southerly airstream and early-morning readings near 26°C, amid normal to above-normal April conditions forecasted by the Observatory, where mean maximums typically hover around 26°C amid variable cloud cover suppressing extremes. Historical April data shows peaks rarely exceeding 30°C without heatwaves, and no such event occurred here. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a data revision from quality-controlled observations or dispute over the reference site could shift it, with next daily summary expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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