Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Guangzhou on April 16, 2026, driven by confirmed observational data from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station, where surface measurements peaked at exactly 31°C amid mostly cloudy skies. This aligns with recent southerly warm advection under a strengthening subtropical ridge, which has elevated April highs above the climatological average of 27–29°C—monthly mean already +3.3°C above normal per monitoring records. Forecasts from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory anticipated 29–30°C, but actual conditions matched trader positioning. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or unverified late-afternoon spikes, though market efficiency reflects negligible risk post-observation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
31°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
32°C <1%
$86,945 Vol.
$86,945 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
32°C <1%
$86,945 Vol.
$86,945 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Guangzhou on April 16, 2026, driven by confirmed observational data from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport weather station, where surface measurements peaked at exactly 31°C amid mostly cloudy skies. This aligns with recent southerly warm advection under a strengthening subtropical ridge, which has elevated April highs above the climatological average of 27–29°C—monthly mean already +3.3°C above normal per monitoring records. Forecasts from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory anticipated 29–30°C, but actual conditions matched trader positioning. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or unverified late-afternoon spikes, though market efficiency reflects negligible risk post-observation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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