Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability that Alphabet (GOOGL) will close above $175 by March 31, buoyed by robust Q4 earnings beating estimates with 15% ad revenue growth and accelerating Google Cloud margins amid AI infrastructure demand. Shares have rallied 8% since the January 30 report, trading near $172 amid broader tech optimism from potential Fed rate cuts, with markets pricing a 75% chance of March easing per CME FedWatch. Key risks include DOJ antitrust scrutiny on search dominance and softening ad spend if consumer data softens ahead of March 12 CPI and March 19 FOMC. Historical March closes show 60% upside median from mid-month levels, but volatility spikes near quarter-end rebalancing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$131,412 Vol.
$250
98%
$260
97%
$270
93%
$280
87%
$290
82%
$300
53%
$310
33%
$320
18%
$330
6%
$340
5%
$350
1%
$360
1%
$370
1%
$131,412 Vol.
$250
98%
$260
97%
$270
93%
$280
87%
$290
82%
$300
53%
$310
33%
$320
18%
$330
6%
$340
5%
$350
1%
$360
1%
$370
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Mercado abierto: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability that Alphabet (GOOGL) will close above $175 by March 31, buoyed by robust Q4 earnings beating estimates with 15% ad revenue growth and accelerating Google Cloud margins amid AI infrastructure demand. Shares have rallied 8% since the January 30 report, trading near $172 amid broader tech optimism from potential Fed rate cuts, with markets pricing a 75% chance of March easing per CME FedWatch. Key risks include DOJ antitrust scrutiny on search dominance and softening ad spend if consumer data softens ahead of March 12 CPI and March 19 FOMC. Historical March closes show 60% upside median from mid-month levels, but volatility spikes near quarter-end rebalancing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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