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Ganador del Grupo I de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA

Market icon

Ganador del Grupo I de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA

Francia 71%

Noruega 20%

Senegal 9%

BOL/IRQ/SUR 2.5%

Polymarket

$83,960 Vol.

Francia 71%

Noruega 20%

Senegal 9%

BOL/IRQ/SUR 2.5%

Polymarket

$83,960 Vol.

Francia

$24,011 Vol.

71%

Noruega

$8,760 Vol.

20%

Senegal

$11,086 Vol.

9%

BOL/IRQ/SUR

$40,102 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France commands 70.5% implied probability to win Group I after Iraq secured the final spot via a 2-1 playoff victory over Bolivia on March 31, solidifying the lineup of France, Norway, Senegal, and Iraq ahead of the June 16 opener France vs. Senegal in East Rutherford. Les Bleus' trader consensus stems from their top FIFA ranking, Nations League dominance, and World Cup pedigree as 2018 champions and 2022 finalists, bolstered by stars like Mbappé despite depth concerns. Norway at 20% rides Erling Haaland's qualifying goals and Martin Ødegaard's playmaking against a favorable Iraq matchup in Foxborough, while Senegal's 8.5% reflects solid CAF form but aging core facing elite competition. Iraq trails at 2.5% as historic underdogs.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$83,960
Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France commands 70.5% implied probability to win Group I after Iraq secured the final spot via a 2-1 playoff victory over Bolivia on March 31, solidifying the lineup of France, Norway, Senegal, and Iraq ahead of the June 16 opener France vs. Senegal in East Rutherford. Les Bleus' trader consensus stems from their top FIFA ranking, Nations League dominance, and World Cup pedigree as 2018 champions and 2022 finalists, bolstered by stars like Mbappé despite depth concerns. Norway at 20% rides Erling Haaland's qualifying goals and Martin Ødegaard's playmaking against a favorable Iraq matchup in Foxborough, while Senegal's 8.5% reflects solid CAF form but aging core facing elite competition. Iraq trails at 2.5% as historic underdogs.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$83,960
Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador del Grupo I de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Francia" con 71%, seguido de "Noruega" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 71¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador del Grupo I de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA" ha generado $84K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador del Grupo I de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador del Grupo I de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA" es "Francia" con 71%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Noruega" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador del Grupo I de la Copa Mundial de la FIFA" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.