France commands 70.5% implied probability to win Group I after Iraq secured the final spot via a 2-1 playoff victory over Bolivia on March 31, solidifying the lineup of France, Norway, Senegal, and Iraq ahead of the June 16 opener France vs. Senegal in East Rutherford. Les Bleus' trader consensus stems from their top FIFA ranking, Nations League dominance, and World Cup pedigree as 2018 champions and 2022 finalists, bolstered by stars like Mbappé despite depth concerns. Norway at 20% rides Erling Haaland's qualifying goals and Martin Ødegaard's playmaking against a favorable Iraq matchup in Foxborough, while Senegal's 8.5% reflects solid CAF form but aging core facing elite competition. Iraq trails at 2.5% as historic underdogs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoFrancia 71%
Noruega 20%
Senegal 9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR 2.5%
$83,960 Vol.
$83,960 Vol.
Francia
71%
Noruega
20%
Senegal
9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
3%
Francia 71%
Noruega 20%
Senegal 9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR 2.5%
$83,960 Vol.
$83,960 Vol.
Francia
71%
Noruega
20%
Senegal
9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
3%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France commands 70.5% implied probability to win Group I after Iraq secured the final spot via a 2-1 playoff victory over Bolivia on March 31, solidifying the lineup of France, Norway, Senegal, and Iraq ahead of the June 16 opener France vs. Senegal in East Rutherford. Les Bleus' trader consensus stems from their top FIFA ranking, Nations League dominance, and World Cup pedigree as 2018 champions and 2022 finalists, bolstered by stars like Mbappé despite depth concerns. Norway at 20% rides Erling Haaland's qualifying goals and Martin Ødegaard's playmaking against a favorable Iraq matchup in Foxborough, while Senegal's 8.5% reflects solid CAF form but aging core facing elite competition. Iraq trails at 2.5% as historic underdogs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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