France dominates trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I, bolstered by their top global FIFA ranking, deep squad featuring Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, and consistent knockout-stage pedigree as recent finalists. Norway sits second at 20% thanks to Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, plus an unbeaten qualifying campaign that signals momentum. Senegal's 8.5% reflects their Africa Cup of Nations title and talents like Sadio Mané, though tougher head-to-heads loom. Iraq's recent 2-1 playoff victory over Bolivia on March 31 finalized the group—marking their first World Cup in 40 years—but their lower ranking caps BOL/IRQ/SUR at 2.5%, underscoring France's edge in this high-stakes group of death.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoFrancia 71%
Noruega 20%
Senegal 9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR 2.4%
$83,972 Vol.
$83,972 Vol.
27 jun 2026
Francia
71%
Noruega
20%
Senegal
9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
2%
Francia 71%
Noruega 20%
Senegal 9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR 2.4%
$83,972 Vol.
$83,972 Vol.
27 jun 2026
Francia
$24,023 Vol.
71%
Noruega
$8,760 Vol.
20%
Senegal
$11,086 Vol.
9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
$40,102 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France dominates trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I, bolstered by their top global FIFA ranking, deep squad featuring Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, and consistent knockout-stage pedigree as recent finalists. Norway sits second at 20% thanks to Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, plus an unbeaten qualifying campaign that signals momentum. Senegal's 8.5% reflects their Africa Cup of Nations title and talents like Sadio Mané, though tougher head-to-heads loom. Iraq's recent 2-1 playoff victory over Bolivia on March 31 finalized the group—marking their first World Cup in 40 years—but their lower ranking caps BOL/IRQ/SUR at 2.5%, underscoring France's edge in this high-stakes group of death.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volumen
$83,972Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France dominates trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I, bolstered by their top global FIFA ranking, deep squad featuring Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, and consistent knockout-stage pedigree as recent finalists. Norway sits second at 20% thanks to Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, plus an unbeaten qualifying campaign that signals momentum. Senegal's 8.5% reflects their Africa Cup of Nations title and talents like Sadio Mané, though tougher head-to-heads loom. Iraq's recent 2-1 playoff victory over Bolivia on March 31 finalized the group—marking their first World Cup in 40 years—but their lower ranking caps BOL/IRQ/SUR at 2.5%, underscoring France's edge in this high-stakes group of death.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$83,972Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France dominates trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I, bolstered by their top global FIFA ranking, deep squad featuring Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, and consistent knockout-stage pedigree as recent finalists. Norway sits second at 20% thanks to Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, plus an unbeaten qualifying campaign that signals momentum. Senegal's 8.5% reflects their Africa Cup of Nations title and talents like Sadio Mané, though tougher head-to-heads loom. Iraq's recent 2-1 playoff victory over Bolivia on March 31 finalized the group—marking their first World Cup in 40 years—but their lower ranking caps BOL/IRQ/SUR at 2.5%, underscoring France's edge in this high-stakes group of death.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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