Trader consensus prices USA as a slim Group D favorite at 39% implied probability, neck-and-neck with the bundled Kosovo/Romania/Slovakia/Turkey outcome at 38.5%, reflecting Turkey's momentum after their gritty 1-0 play-off final win over Kosovo on March 31 to secure qualification and end a 24-year World Cup absence. The USMNT benefits from co-host advantages, including home matches like the opener against Paraguay at Los Angeles Stadium and a Seattle clash with Australia, bolstered by familiar venues and crowd support amid solid recent friendlies. Paraguay sits third at 15.5% on CONMEBOL qualifier strength featuring Almirón's creativity, while Australia lags at 8.1% due to an aging Socceroos squad and tougher path. With top-two automatic advancement plus potential third-place progression via goal difference, the race stays tight given stylistic matchups and untested head-to-heads in the expanded 48-team format.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEstados Unidos 39%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 39%
Paraguay 16%
Australia 8.0%
$15,588 Vol.
$15,588 Vol.
Estados Unidos
39%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
39%
Paraguay
16%
Australia
8%
Estados Unidos 39%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 39%
Paraguay 16%
Australia 8.0%
$15,588 Vol.
$15,588 Vol.
Estados Unidos
39%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
39%
Paraguay
16%
Australia
8%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices USA as a slim Group D favorite at 39% implied probability, neck-and-neck with the bundled Kosovo/Romania/Slovakia/Turkey outcome at 38.5%, reflecting Turkey's momentum after their gritty 1-0 play-off final win over Kosovo on March 31 to secure qualification and end a 24-year World Cup absence. The USMNT benefits from co-host advantages, including home matches like the opener against Paraguay at Los Angeles Stadium and a Seattle clash with Australia, bolstered by familiar venues and crowd support amid solid recent friendlies. Paraguay sits third at 15.5% on CONMEBOL qualifier strength featuring Almirón's creativity, while Australia lags at 8.1% due to an aging Socceroos squad and tougher path. With top-two automatic advancement plus potential third-place progression via goal difference, the race stays tight given stylistic matchups and untested head-to-heads in the expanded 48-team format.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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