Trader consensus favors Switzerland at 53.5% implied probability to win 2026 FIFA World Cup Group B, driven by their dominant UEFA qualifying campaign—unbeaten with four wins and two draws atop their group, plus a No. 19 FIFA ranking. Bosnia and Herzegovina's recent qualification via penalties over Italy (4-1 after 1-1 extra time) on March 31 finalized the group, but their No. 65 ranking positions the playoff winner as a 17% underdog despite momentum. Canada, at 26%, leverages co-host home advantages in matches against Bosnia at BMO Field and Qatar at BC Place, bolstered by No. 30 ranking. Qatar trails at 3.9% as the weakest link (No. 55), with poor recent major tournament form.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSuiza 54%
Canadá 26%
BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL 17%
Qatar 3.9%
$34,277 Vol.
$34,277 Vol.
Suiza
54%
Canadá
26%
BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL
17%
Qatar
4%
Suiza 54%
Canadá 26%
BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL 17%
Qatar 3.9%
$34,277 Vol.
$34,277 Vol.
Suiza
54%
Canadá
26%
BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL
17%
Qatar
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 6:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Switzerland at 53.5% implied probability to win 2026 FIFA World Cup Group B, driven by their dominant UEFA qualifying campaign—unbeaten with four wins and two draws atop their group, plus a No. 19 FIFA ranking. Bosnia and Herzegovina's recent qualification via penalties over Italy (4-1 after 1-1 extra time) on March 31 finalized the group, but their No. 65 ranking positions the playoff winner as a 17% underdog despite momentum. Canada, at 26%, leverages co-host home advantages in matches against Bosnia at BMO Field and Qatar at BC Place, bolstered by No. 30 ranking. Qatar trails at 3.9% as the weakest link (No. 55), with poor recent major tournament form.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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