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Deportes·Fórmula 1

Gran Premio de Japón: piloto ganador

Market icon
Deportes·Fórmula 1

Gran Premio de Japón: piloto ganador

Andrea Kimi Antonelli 53%

George Russell 43%

Oscar Piastri 17.0%

Charles Leclerc 6.5%

Polymarket

$1,093,132 Vol.

Andrea Kimi Antonelli 53%

George Russell 43%

Oscar Piastri 17.0%

Charles Leclerc 6.5%

Polymarket

$1,093,132 Vol.

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

$119,281 Vol.

53%

George Russell

$80,273 Vol.

43%

Oscar Piastri

$52,635 Vol.

17%

Charles Leclerc

$88,048 Vol.

7%

Lewis Hamilton

$88,367 Vol.

3%

Valtteri Bottas

$0 Vol.

2%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$5,873 Vol.

1%

Fernando Alonso

$5,729 Vol.

1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$8,001 Vol.

1%

Alexander Albon

$3,901 Vol.

<1%

Lando Norris

$40,160 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$55,229 Vol.

<1%

Max Verstappen

$462,247 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Perez

$4,192 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$3,278 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$0 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hulkenberg

$0 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$20,497 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$0 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$60,519 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$0 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli's commanding pole position in Saturday's Japanese Grand Prix qualifying, where he edged Mercedes teammate George Russell by 0.298 seconds ahead of Oscar Piastri and Charles Leclerc, has solidified trader consensus favoring the young Italian at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting Mercedes' front-row lockout and dominant weekend pace across FP1-FP3 sessions at Suzuka. Russell's consistent P2 or P3 practice finishes and strong race simulations position him as the 36.0% challenger, bolstered by the team's early 2026 form including Antonelli's prior China victory. Lower odds for Piastri (2.9%) and Leclerc (5.8%) stem from their Q3 deficits, while Max Verstappen's Q2 exit underscores Red Bull's struggles, emphasizing Suzuka's high-speed layout that historically rewards pole-sitters amid dry conditions.

Kimi Antonelli's commanding pole position in Saturday's Japanese Grand Prix qualifying, where he edged Mercedes teammate George Russell by 0.298 seconds ahead of Oscar Piastri and Charles Leclerc, has solidified trader consensus favoring the young Italian at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting Mercedes' front-row lockout and dominant weekend pace across FP1-FP3 sessions at Suzuka. Russell's consistent P2 or P3 practice finishes and strong race simulations position him as the 36.0% challenger, bolstered by the team's early 2026 form including Antonelli's prior China victory. Lower odds for Piastri (2.9%) and Leclerc (5.8%) stem from their Q3 deficits, while Max Verstappen's Q2 exit underscores Red Bull's struggles, emphasizing Suzuka's high-speed layout that historically rewards pole-sitters amid dry conditions.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli's commanding pole position in Saturday's Japanese Grand Prix qualifying, where he edged Mercedes teammate George Russell by 0.298 seconds ahead of Oscar Piastri and Charles Leclerc, has solidified trader consensus favoring the young Italian at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting Mercedes' front-row lockout and dominant weekend pace across FP1-FP3 sessions at Suzuka. Russell's consistent P2 or P3 practice finishes and strong race simulations position him as the 36.0% challenger, bolstered by the team's early 2026 form including Antonelli's prior China victory. Lower odds for Piastri (2.9%) and Leclerc (5.8%) stem from their Q3 deficits, while Max Verstappen's Q2 exit underscores Red Bull's struggles, emphasizing Suzuka's high-speed layout that historically rewards pole-sitters amid dry conditions.

Kimi Antonelli's commanding pole position in Saturday's Japanese Grand Prix qualifying, where he edged Mercedes teammate George Russell by 0.298 seconds ahead of Oscar Piastri and Charles Leclerc, has solidified trader consensus favoring the young Italian at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting Mercedes' front-row lockout and dominant weekend pace across FP1-FP3 sessions at Suzuka. Russell's consistent P2 or P3 practice finishes and strong race simulations position him as the 36.0% challenger, bolstered by the team's early 2026 form including Antonelli's prior China victory. Lower odds for Piastri (2.9%) and Leclerc (5.8%) stem from their Q3 deficits, while Max Verstappen's Q2 exit underscores Red Bull's struggles, emphasizing Suzuka's high-speed layout that historically rewards pole-sitters amid dry conditions.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Gran Premio de Japón: piloto ganador" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 21 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Andrea Kimi Antonelli" con 53%, seguido de "George Russell" con 43%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 53¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Gran Premio de Japón: piloto ganador" ha generado $1.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 11, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Gran Premio de Japón: piloto ganador", explora los 21 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Gran Premio de Japón: piloto ganador" es "Andrea Kimi Antonelli" con 53%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "George Russell" con 43%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Gran Premio de Japón: piloto ganador" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.