Mercedes' Kimi Antonelli leads implied probabilities for a podium at Suzuka after securing pole position in qualifying and dominating Friday practice with significant early-season upgrades, building on his recent China victory and championship lead at 72 points. George Russell, second in standings at 63 points, bolsters team strength on the technical Japanese GP layout featuring high-speed sectors like 130R and Spoon curve that reward downforce and tire management under 2026 regulations. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc remains competitive post-strong quali, while McLaren's Oscar Piastri shows revival momentum; Red Bull's Max Verstappen chases recovery amid form dip. Dry weather with 18-19°C temps and light clouds favors clean racing Sunday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$305,136 Vol.
Apr 5, 2026
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Charles Leclerc
100%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Lando Norris
<1%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
100%
Max Verstappen
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Lewis Hamilton
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Oscar Piastri
100%
George Russell
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
$305,136 Vol.
Pierre Gasly
$4,595 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Alonso
$2,236 Vol.
<1%
Alexander Albon
$6,840 Vol.
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
$1,646 Vol.
<1%
Sergio Perez
$2,175 Vol.
<1%
Charles Leclerc
$20,274 Vol.
100%
Esteban Ocon
$124,886 Vol.
<1%
Lando Norris
$3,309 Vol.
<1%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
$18,718 Vol.
100%
Max Verstappen
$9,046 Vol.
<1%
Franco Colapinto
$9,578 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
$5,032 Vol.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
$1,432 Vol.
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
$1,750 Vol.
<1%
Lewis Hamilton
$15,442 Vol.
<1%
Oliver Bearman
$1,108 Vol.
<1%
Oscar Piastri
$35,206 Vol.
100%
George Russell
$19,230 Vol.
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
$12,331 Vol.
<1%
Isack Hadjar
$959 Vol.
<1%
Liam Lawson
$9,354 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.Mercedes' Kimi Antonelli leads implied probabilities for a podium at Suzuka after securing pole position in qualifying and dominating Friday practice with significant early-season upgrades, building on his recent China victory and championship lead at 72 points. George Russell, second in standings at 63 points, bolsters team strength on the technical Japanese GP layout featuring high-speed sectors like 130R and Spoon curve that reward downforce and tire management under 2026 regulations. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc remains competitive post-strong quali, while McLaren's Oscar Piastri shows revival momentum; Red Bull's Max Verstappen chases recovery amid form dip. Dry weather with 18-19°C temps and light clouds favors clean racing Sunday.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Mercado abierto: Mar 11, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Volumen
$305,136Fecha de finalización
Apr 5, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 7:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.Mercedes' Kimi Antonelli leads implied probabilities for a podium at Suzuka after securing pole position in qualifying and dominating Friday practice with significant early-season upgrades, building on his recent China victory and championship lead at 72 points. George Russell, second in standings at 63 points, bolsters team strength on the technical Japanese GP layout featuring high-speed sectors like 130R and Spoon curve that reward downforce and tire management under 2026 regulations. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc remains competitive post-strong quali, while McLaren's Oscar Piastri shows revival momentum; Red Bull's Max Verstappen chases recovery amid form dip. Dry weather with 18-19°C temps and light clouds favors clean racing Sunday.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volumen
$305,136Fecha de finalización
Apr 5, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 7:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x65070BE91...Mercedes' Kimi Antonelli leads implied probabilities for a podium at Suzuka after securing pole position in qualifying and dominating Friday practice with significant early-season upgrades, building on his recent China victory and championship lead at 72 points. George Russell, second in standings at 63 points, bolsters team strength on the technical Japanese GP layout featuring high-speed sectors like 130R and Spoon curve that reward downforce and tire management under 2026 regulations. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc remains competitive post-strong quali, while McLaren's Oscar Piastri shows revival momentum; Red Bull's Max Verstappen chases recovery amid form dip. Dry weather with 18-19°C temps and light clouds favors clean racing Sunday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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