Mercedes' commanding pace across Japanese Grand Prix practice sessions and qualifying—locking out pole position with Kimi Antonelli ahead of George Russell, while topping FP1 and FP3—has solidified trader consensus at 69% implied probability for the constructor fastest lap at Suzuka. Their season-long dominance in constructor standings (98 points) and superior long-run race pace on medium tires underscore potential for a late-race push on fresh softs, where fastest laps are often set. Ferrari trails at 13% after Charles Leclerc's P5 qualifying and solid FP3 showing, while McLaren's 10% reflects Oscar Piastri's FP2 benchmark but inconsistent long runs; Red Bull lags further amid Max Verstappen's P11 grid slot and setup struggles, highlighting Mercedes' edge in high-downforce track conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMercedes 72%
Ferrari 14%
Mclaren Mastercard 10%
Red Bull 6%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
Mercedes
72%
Ferrari
14%
Mclaren Mastercard
10%
Red Bull
6%
Audi Revolut
2%
Alpine
2%
Tgr Haas
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Aston Martin
1%
Williams
1%
Cadillac
1%
Mercedes 72%
Ferrari 14%
Mclaren Mastercard 10%
Red Bull 6%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
Mercedes
$108 Vol.
72%
Ferrari
$13 Vol.
14%
Mclaren Mastercard
$51 Vol.
10%
Red Bull
$0 Vol.
6%
Audi Revolut
$164 Vol.
2%
Alpine
$24 Vol.
2%
Tgr Haas
$34 Vol.
1%
Racing Bulls
$34 Vol.
1%
Aston Martin
$34 Vol.
1%
Williams
$34 Vol.
1%
Cadillac
$53 Vol.
1%
This is a polymarket on the constructor team whose driver achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team whose driver is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes' commanding pace across Japanese Grand Prix practice sessions and qualifying—locking out pole position with Kimi Antonelli ahead of George Russell, while topping FP1 and FP3—has solidified trader consensus at 69% implied probability for the constructor fastest lap at Suzuka. Their season-long dominance in constructor standings (98 points) and superior long-run race pace on medium tires underscore potential for a late-race push on fresh softs, where fastest laps are often set. Ferrari trails at 13% after Charles Leclerc's P5 qualifying and solid FP3 showing, while McLaren's 10% reflects Oscar Piastri's FP2 benchmark but inconsistent long runs; Red Bull lags further amid Max Verstappen's P11 grid slot and setup struggles, highlighting Mercedes' edge in high-downforce track conditions.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team whose driver achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team whose driver is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team whose driver is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 11, 2026, 7:48 AM ET
Volumen
$550Fecha de finalización
Apr 5, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 7:48 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a polymarket on the constructor team whose driver achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team whose driver is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes' commanding pace across Japanese Grand Prix practice sessions and qualifying—locking out pole position with Kimi Antonelli ahead of George Russell, while topping FP1 and FP3—has solidified trader consensus at 69% implied probability for the constructor fastest lap at Suzuka. Their season-long dominance in constructor standings (98 points) and superior long-run race pace on medium tires underscore potential for a late-race push on fresh softs, where fastest laps are often set. Ferrari trails at 13% after Charles Leclerc's P5 qualifying and solid FP3 showing, while McLaren's 10% reflects Oscar Piastri's FP2 benchmark but inconsistent long runs; Red Bull lags further amid Max Verstappen's P11 grid slot and setup struggles, highlighting Mercedes' edge in high-downforce track conditions.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team whose driver achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team whose driver is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team whose driver is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.
If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volumen
$550Fecha de finalización
Apr 5, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 7:48 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' commanding pace across Japanese Grand Prix practice sessions and qualifying—locking out pole position with Kimi Antonelli ahead of George Russell, while topping FP1 and FP3—has solidified trader consensus at 69% implied probability for the constructor fastest lap at Suzuka. Their season-long dominance in constructor standings (98 points) and superior long-run race pace on medium tires underscore potential for a late-race push on fresh softs, where fastest laps are often set. Ferrari trails at 13% after Charles Leclerc's P5 qualifying and solid FP3 showing, while McLaren's 10% reflects Oscar Piastri's FP2 benchmark but inconsistent long runs; Red Bull lags further amid Max Verstappen's P11 grid slot and setup struggles, highlighting Mercedes' edge in high-downforce track conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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