Mercedes' George Russell and Kimi Antonelli lead trader consensus at 19% apiece after standout early 2026 performances, with Russell's commanding Australian Grand Prix victory in an action-packed opener featuring a surge in overtakes under new regulations, and Antonelli securing back-to-back wins in China and Japan—including a dramatic recovery from sixth at the Suzuka start to claim pole and victory. Max Verstappen tops implied probabilities at 28.5% on his reputation for bold maneuvers, highlighted by a stunning outside pass on Alex Albon in Melbourne and a 14-overtake charge from P20 to P6 in Japan. Lewis Hamilton (20%) and Charles Leclerc (17.5%) reflect Ferrari's podium threats via aggressive starts and head-to-head battles, while midfield contenders like Hulkenberg and Ocon draw support for wheel-to-wheel action in a wide-open field with 21 races remaining.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMax Verstappen 40%
Lewis Hamilton 30%
Kimi Antonelli 25%
George Russell 19%
Max Verstappen
29%
Lewis Hamilton
20%
Kimi Antonelli
19%
George Russell
19%
Charles Leclerc
19%
Oscar Piastri
18%
Fernando Alonso
10%
Alexander Albon
4%
Lando Norris
4%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Carlos Sainz
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Max Verstappen 40%
Lewis Hamilton 30%
Kimi Antonelli 25%
George Russell 19%
Max Verstappen
29%
Lewis Hamilton
20%
Kimi Antonelli
19%
George Russell
19%
Charles Leclerc
19%
Oscar Piastri
18%
Fernando Alonso
10%
Alexander Albon
4%
Lando Norris
4%
Gabriel Bortoleto
2%
Arvid Lindblad
2%
Oliver Bearman
2%
Isack Hadjar
2%
Nico Hulkenberg
2%
Liam Lawson
2%
Esteban Ocon
2%
Carlos Sainz
2%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' George Russell and Kimi Antonelli lead trader consensus at 19% apiece after standout early 2026 performances, with Russell's commanding Australian Grand Prix victory in an action-packed opener featuring a surge in overtakes under new regulations, and Antonelli securing back-to-back wins in China and Japan—including a dramatic recovery from sixth at the Suzuka start to claim pole and victory. Max Verstappen tops implied probabilities at 28.5% on his reputation for bold maneuvers, highlighted by a stunning outside pass on Alex Albon in Melbourne and a 14-overtake charge from P20 to P6 in Japan. Lewis Hamilton (20%) and Charles Leclerc (17.5%) reflect Ferrari's podium threats via aggressive starts and head-to-head battles, while midfield contenders like Hulkenberg and Ocon draw support for wheel-to-wheel action in a wide-open field with 21 races remaining.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes