Name: Electoral College Margin of Victory?
Start: 2024-01-10T01:39:00Z
End: 2024-11-04T12:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

This is a market on the anticipated margin of victory in the Electoral College for the upcoming presidential election.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by 215 or more electoral college votes compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


GOP by 215+

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 155 and 214 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


GOP by 155-214

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 65 and 104 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.



GOP by 65-104

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 5 and 14 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


GOP by 5-14

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 15 and 34 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


GOP by 15-34

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 35 and 64 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


GOP by 35-64

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 0 and 4 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


Dems by 0-4

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 15 and 34 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


Dems by 15-34

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 5 and 14 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


Dems by 5-14

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 35 and 64 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


Dems by 35-64

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 65 and 104 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


Dems by 65-104

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 105 and 154 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


Dems by 105-154

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by 215 or more electoral college votes compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


Dems by 215+

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 105 and 154 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


GOP by 105-154

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 155 and 214 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


Dems by 155-214

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 1 and 4 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.


GOP by 1-4

This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither a democrat-nominated nor a republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If there is a tie in electoral votes between a democrat-nominated and republican-nominated candidate (and all third party candidates trail both), this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.

Electoral College Margin of Victory?

GOP by 215+
$7,262,056 Vol.
No

GOP by 155-214
$5,230,771 Vol.
No

GOP by 105-154
$6,473,741 Vol.
No

GOP by 65-104
$7,563,203 Vol.
Yes

GOP by 35-64
$6,753,406 Vol.
No

GOP by 15-34
$5,040,360 Vol.
No

GOP by 5-14
$5,436,305 Vol.
No

GOP by 1-4
$5,813,310 Vol.
No

Dems by 0-4
$5,777,920 Vol.
No

Dems by 5-14
$6,235,007 Vol.
No

Dems by 15-34
$5,813,697 Vol.
No

Dems by 35-64
$4,503,322 Vol.
No

Dems by 65-104
$5,777,360 Vol.
No

Dems by 105-154
$6,153,981 Vol.
No

Dems by 155-214
$5,393,719 Vol.
No

Dems by 215+
$6,016,787 Vol.
No

GOP/Dems both lose
$20,963,826 Vol.
No

Contexto del Mercado