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Política·Elecciones Presidenciales De 2024

Electoral College Margin of Victory?

Market icon
Política·Elecciones Presidenciales De 2024

Electoral College Margin of Victory?

GOP by 65-104 100.0%

Dems by 35-64 <1%

GOP by 215+ <1%

GOP by 155-214 <1%

Polymarket

$116,208,771 Vol.

GOP by 65-104 100.0%

Dems by 35-64 <1%

GOP by 215+ <1%

GOP by 155-214 <1%

Polymarket

$116,208,771 Vol.

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GOP by 215+

$7,262,056 Vol.

No

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GOP by 155-214

$5,230,771 Vol.

No

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GOP by 105-154

$6,473,741 Vol.

No

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GOP by 65-104

$7,563,203 Vol.

Yes

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GOP by 35-64

$6,753,406 Vol.

No

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GOP by 15-34

$5,040,360 Vol.

No

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GOP by 5-14

$5,436,305 Vol.

No

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GOP by 1-4

$5,813,310 Vol.

No

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Dems by 0-4

$5,777,920 Vol.

No

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Dems by 5-14

$6,235,007 Vol.

No

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Dems by 15-34

$5,813,697 Vol.

No

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Dems by 35-64

$4,503,322 Vol.

No

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Dems by 65-104

$5,777,360 Vol.

No

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Dems by 105-154

$6,153,981 Vol.

No

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Dems by 155-214

$5,393,719 Vol.

No

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Dems by 215+

$6,016,787 Vol.

No

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GOP/Dems both lose

$20,963,826 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by 215 or more electoral college votes compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 155 and 214 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 105 and 154 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 65 and 104 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 35 and 64 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 15 and 34 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 5 and 14 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 1 and 4 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 0 and 4 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 5 and 14 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 15 and 34 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 35 and 64 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 65 and 104 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 105 and 154 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 155 and 214 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by 215 or more electoral college votes compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither a democrat-nominated nor a republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a tie in electoral votes between a democrat-nominated and republican-nominated candidate (and all third party candidates trail both), this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by 215 or more electoral college votes compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 155 and 214 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 105 and 154 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 65 and 104 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 35 and 64 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 15 and 34 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 5 and 14 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 1 and 4 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 0 and 4 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 5 and 14 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 15 and 34 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 35 and 64 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 65 and 104 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 105 and 154 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by between 155 and 214 electoral college votes (inclusive) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the democrat-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins by 215 or more electoral college votes compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins. This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither a democrat-nominated nor a republican-nominated candidate for the 2024 US presidential election wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If there is a tie in electoral votes between a democrat-nominated and republican-nominated candidate (and all third party candidates trail both), this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Electoral College Margin of Victory?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "GOP by 65-104" con 100%, seguido de "GOP by 215+" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Electoral College Margin of Victory?" ha generado $116.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 10, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Electoral College Margin of Victory?", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Electoral College Margin of Victory?" es "GOP by 65-104" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "GOP by 215+" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Electoral College Margin of Victory?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.