Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to anchor elevated crude oil prices near $104 per barrel, driving the 78.5% market-implied probability for a June CL settlement above $84. Large inventory draws exceeding 8 million barrels per day and Middle East production shut-ins over 10 million barrels per day have tightened near-term balances, with the EIA projecting Brent averages around $106 in May and June. Recent diplomatic overtures, including President Trump’s decision to pause planned strikes in favor of peace talks, introduce downside risks if flows resume faster than expected, though any de-escalation remains contingent on sustained supply recovery. Traders are monitoring upcoming OPEC+ signals and weekly inventory data as key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or erode the current premium.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿En qué se asentará el petróleo crudo (CL) en junio?
¿En qué se asentará el petróleo crudo (CL) en junio?
>$84 76%
$77-$84 14%
$70-$77 8.0%
$56-$63 <1%
$180,661 Vol.
$180,661 Vol.
30 jun 2026
< $42
1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
<1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
1%
$70-$77
8%
$77-$84
14%
>$84
76%
>$84 76%
$77-$84 14%
$70-$77 8.0%
$56-$63 <1%
$180,661 Vol.
$180,661 Vol.
30 jun 2026
< $42
$19,404 Vol.
1%
$42-$49
$8,123 Vol.
1%
$49-$56
$9,306 Vol.
<1%
$56-$63
$9,342 Vol.
1%
$63-$70
$23,412 Vol.
1%
$70-$77
$14,756 Vol.
8%
$77-$84
$15,992 Vol.
14%
>$84
$80,325 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to anchor elevated crude oil prices near $104 per barrel, driving the 78.5% market-implied probability for a June CL settlement above $84. Large inventory draws exceeding 8 million barrels per day and Middle East production shut-ins over 10 million barrels per day have tightened near-term balances, with the EIA projecting Brent averages around $106 in May and June. Recent diplomatic overtures, including President Trump’s decision to pause planned strikes in favor of peace talks, introduce downside risks if flows resume faster than expected, though any de-escalation remains contingent on sustained supply recovery. Traders are monitoring upcoming OPEC+ signals and weekly inventory data as key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or erode the current premium.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volumen
$180,661Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to anchor elevated crude oil prices near $104 per barrel, driving the 78.5% market-implied probability for a June CL settlement above $84. Large inventory draws exceeding 8 million barrels per day and Middle East production shut-ins over 10 million barrels per day have tightened near-term balances, with the EIA projecting Brent averages around $106 in May and June. Recent diplomatic overtures, including President Trump’s decision to pause planned strikes in favor of peace talks, introduce downside risks if flows resume faster than expected, though any de-escalation remains contingent on sustained supply recovery. Traders are monitoring upcoming OPEC+ signals and weekly inventory data as key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or erode the current premium.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volumen
$180,661Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to anchor elevated crude oil prices near $104 per barrel, driving the 78.5% market-implied probability for a June CL settlement above $84. Large inventory draws exceeding 8 million barrels per day and Middle East production shut-ins over 10 million barrels per day have tightened near-term balances, with the EIA projecting Brent averages around $106 in May and June. Recent diplomatic overtures, including President Trump’s decision to pause planned strikes in favor of peace talks, introduce downside risks if flows resume faster than expected, though any de-escalation remains contingent on sustained supply recovery. Traders are monitoring upcoming OPEC+ signals and weekly inventory data as key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or erode the current premium.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes