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Política·Elección Presidencial

Argentina Presidential Election: Who will win?

Market icon
Política·Elección Presidencial

Argentina Presidential Election: Who will win?

$787,159 Vol.

Oct 22, 2023
Polymarket

$787,159 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Javier Milei

$573,123 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Sergio Massa

$174,888 Vol.

No

Market icon

Patricia Bullrich

$39,149 Vol.

No

Javier Gerardo Milei is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Argentine general election, currently scheduled to take place on October 22, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei wins the 2023 Argentine presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Sergio Massa is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Argentine general election, currently scheduled to take place on October 22, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sergio Massa wins the 2023 Argentine presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Patricia Bullrich is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Argentine general election, currently scheduled to take place on October 22, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Patricia Bullrich wins the 2023 Argentine presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Javier Gerardo Milei is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Argentine general election, currently scheduled to take place on October 22, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei wins the 2023 Argentine presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$787,159
Fecha de finalización
Nov 19, 2023
Mercado abierto
May 30, 2023, 11:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Javier Gerardo Milei is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Argentine general election, currently scheduled to take place on October 22, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei wins the 2023 Argentine presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Sergio Massa is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Argentine general election, currently scheduled to take place on October 22, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sergio Massa wins the 2023 Argentine presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Patricia Bullrich is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Argentine general election, currently scheduled to take place on October 22, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Patricia Bullrich wins the 2023 Argentine presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Argentina Presidential Election: Who will win?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Javier Milei" con 100%, seguido de "Sergio Massa" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Argentina Presidential Election: Who will win?" ha generado $787.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 30, 2023. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Argentina Presidential Election: Who will win?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Argentina Presidential Election: Who will win?" es "Javier Milei" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sergio Massa" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Argentina Presidential Election: Who will win?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.