Market icon
Política·Trump X Al-Sharaa

¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

Market icon
Política·Trump X Al-Sharaa

¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

Sí

18% probabilidad
Polymarket

$55,542 Vol.

Sí

18% probabilidad
Polymarket

$55,542 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa remains firmly entrenched as Syria's transitional president over a year after leading the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad, fueling trader consensus at 82% odds he stays in power through 2026. A February 2026 UN report detailed five foiled ISIL assassination attempts against him and ministers, highlighting persistent militant threats but effective countermeasures. Recent diplomatic strides, including a March 30 visit to Germany proposing Syria as a secure transit corridor and pledges to avoid U.S.-Israeli conflicts, signal growing international legitimacy following U.S. delistings and a November 2025 White House meeting with President Trump. Ceasefires with the Syrian Democratic Forces and territorial consolidations outweigh earlier southern unrest, reducing near-term ouster risks amid the transitional government's stabilization efforts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$55,542
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa remains firmly entrenched as Syria's transitional president over a year after leading the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad, fueling trader consensus at 82% odds he stays in power through 2026. A February 2026 UN report detailed five foiled ISIL assassination attempts against him and ministers, highlighting persistent militant threats but effective countermeasures. Recent diplomatic strides, including a March 30 visit to Germany proposing Syria as a secure transit corridor and pledges to avoid U.S.-Israeli conflicts, signal growing international legitimacy following U.S. delistings and a November 2025 White House meeting with President Trump. Ceasefires with the Syrian Democratic Forces and territorial consolidations outweigh earlier southern unrest, reducing near-term ouster risks amid the transitional government's stabilization efforts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$55,542
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Ahmed al-Sharaa dejará de ser líder de Siria antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 18¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?" ha generado $55.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?" es "¿Ahmed al-Sharaa dejará de ser líder de Siria antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?" con 18%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Ahmed al-Sharaa como líder de Siria para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.