Polymarket traders have priced a 100% implied probability that Apple (AAPL) shares will close the week of March 23 in the $245-$250 range, driven by the stock's current trading level around $247 amid low intraday volatility and thin trading volume signaling minimal downside risk. This strong consensus stems from recent stabilization post-earnings, where AAPL beat revenue expectations on services growth (up 14% year-over-year) and AI-driven iPhone upgrade cycles, aligning with analyst consensus price targets near $250 from firms like Morgan Stanley. Absent major macroeconomic shocks or supply chain disruptions, the positioning holds firm; however, a surprise Federal Reserve rate hike signal or China tariffs escalation could pressure shares below $245 before Friday's close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$245-$250 100.0%
< $225 <1%
$225-$230 <1%
$230-$235 <1%
$19,866 Vol.
$19,866 Vol.
< $225
No
$225-$230
No
$230-$235
No
$235-$240
No
$240-$245
No
$245-$250
Sí
$250-$255
No
$255-$260
No
$260-$265
No
$265-$270
No
>$270
No
$245-$250 100.0%
< $225 <1%
$225-$230 <1%
$230-$235 <1%
$19,866 Vol.
$19,866 Vol.
< $225
No
$225-$230
No
$230-$235
No
$235-$240
No
$240-$245
No
$245-$250
Sí
$250-$255
No
$255-$260
No
$260-$265
No
$265-$270
No
>$270
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Polymarket traders have priced a 100% implied probability that Apple (AAPL) shares will close the week of March 23 in the $245-$250 range, driven by the stock's current trading level around $247 amid low intraday volatility and thin trading volume signaling minimal downside risk. This strong consensus stems from recent stabilization post-earnings, where AAPL beat revenue expectations on services growth (up 14% year-over-year) and AI-driven iPhone upgrade cycles, aligning with analyst consensus price targets near $250 from firms like Morgan Stanley. Absent major macroeconomic shocks or supply chain disruptions, the positioning holds firm; however, a surprise Federal Reserve rate hike signal or China tariffs escalation could pressure shares below $245 before Friday's close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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