Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 26.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's Wimbledon title, propelled by her recent Miami Open triumph over Elena Rybakina in a three-set final, extending her hard-court dominance as World No. 1 into the grass-court preview. Rybakina, at 15.5%, holds strong grass pedigree as 2022 champion with an 18-2 record in her last 20 All England Club matches, bolstered by her Australian Open 2026 victory despite the Miami loss. Iga Świątek's 16.4% reflects solid top-four ranking but historical grass struggles (17-7 career win rate), while the wide-open field—next contenders under 6%—highlights surface transitions post-French Open, injury uncertainties, and adaptation challenges on fast turf.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoAryna Sabalenka 27%
Iga Świątek 16.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Amanda Anisimova 5.8%
$4,591,348 Vol.
$4,591,348 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
27%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Amanda Anisimova
6%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Emma Raducanu
4%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Diana Shnaider
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Clara Tauson
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Dayana Yastremska
1%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Ons Jabeur
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Tatjana Maria
<1%
Sonay Kartal
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 27%
Iga Świątek 16.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Amanda Anisimova 5.8%
$4,591,348 Vol.
$4,591,348 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
27%
Iga Świątek
16%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Amanda Anisimova
6%
Coco Gauff
6%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Emma Raducanu
4%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Diana Shnaider
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Clara Tauson
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Dayana Yastremska
1%
Karolína Muchová
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Ons Jabeur
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Tatjana Maria
<1%
Sonay Kartal
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Xinyu Wang
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 26.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Women's Wimbledon title, propelled by her recent Miami Open triumph over Elena Rybakina in a three-set final, extending her hard-court dominance as World No. 1 into the grass-court preview. Rybakina, at 15.5%, holds strong grass pedigree as 2022 champion with an 18-2 record in her last 20 All England Club matches, bolstered by her Australian Open 2026 victory despite the Miami loss. Iga Świątek's 16.4% reflects solid top-four ranking but historical grass struggles (17-7 career win rate), while the wide-open field—next contenders under 6%—highlights surface transitions post-French Open, injury uncertainties, and adaptation challenges on fast turf.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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