Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 22% implied probability as the 2026 Women's Wimbledon winner, buoyed by her world No. 1 ranking and dominant hard-court form, including a Miami Open title over Elena Rybakina in a three-set final last week. Rybakina (16%) remains a close threat with her 2022 Wimbledon triumph and flat-hitting style ideal for grass, while Iga Świątek (18.1%) holds steady as a multi-surface powerhouse despite a modest grass record of 17-7 lifetime. The tight clustering reflects grass-court volatility, where big serves thrive amid low bounces, plus rising stars like top-10 breakthrough Victoria Mboko (8.9%) injecting uncertainty—no dominant force has emerged three months out, with healthy rosters and upcoming clay swing as the next test before grass prep begins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoAryna Sabalenka 22%
Iga Świątek 18.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 8.8%
$2,671,210 Vol.
$2,671,210 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
9%
Coco Gauff
6%
Clara Tauson
4%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 22%
Iga Świątek 18.3%
Elena Rybakina 16%
Victoria Mboko 8.8%
$2,671,210 Vol.
$2,671,210 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Iga Świątek
18%
Elena Rybakina
16%
Victoria Mboko
9%
Coco Gauff
6%
Clara Tauson
4%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Mirra Andreeva
3%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2%
Emma Raducanu
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Jessica Pegula
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Paula Badosa
1%
Donna Vekić
1%
Xinyu Wang
1%
Sonay Kartal
1%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
1%
Jasmine Paolini
1%
Elina Svitolina
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Jelena Ostapenko
1%
Qinwen Zheng
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Marie Bouzková
1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Olga Danilović
<1%
McCartney Kessler
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Laura Siegemund
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Solana Sierra
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Aryna Sabalenka at 22% implied probability as the 2026 Women's Wimbledon winner, buoyed by her world No. 1 ranking and dominant hard-court form, including a Miami Open title over Elena Rybakina in a three-set final last week. Rybakina (16%) remains a close threat with her 2022 Wimbledon triumph and flat-hitting style ideal for grass, while Iga Świątek (18.1%) holds steady as a multi-surface powerhouse despite a modest grass record of 17-7 lifetime. The tight clustering reflects grass-court volatility, where big serves thrive amid low bounces, plus rising stars like top-10 breakthrough Victoria Mboko (8.9%) injecting uncertainty—no dominant force has emerged three months out, with healthy rosters and upcoming clay swing as the next test before grass prep begins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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