UConn's commanding 68% implied probability in the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament market reflects their recruiting dominance, headlined by the nation's top-rated 2025 class featuring McDonald's All-American Sarah Strong and four other top-25 signees, bolstering an already deep roster under Geno Auriemma. UCLA trails at 14% on momentum from their Elite Eight run and strong 2025 commitments like five-star guards, positioning them as West Coast threats. Texas (7.6%) and Louisville (5.8%) benefit from portal additions and top-10 recruiting hauls, while USC and Ohio State (both 5.5%) leverage returning talent and favorable schedules. Recent high school All-American pledges to UConn and UCLA have widened the gap, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing dynasty potential over one-off upsets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoUConn 68%
UCLA 14%
Texas 7.6%
Southern 6.9%
$114,577 Vol.
$114,577 Vol.
UConn
68%
UCLA
14%
Texas
8%
Southern
7%
Rhode Island
7%
James Madison
7%
Princeton
6%
Carolina del Sur
5%
Ole Miss
4%
Howard
4%
Baylor
3%
Carolina del Norte
3%
High Point
3%
Oklahoma State
3%
Kentucky
3%
Georgia
3%
Vermont
2%
LSU
2%
Alabama
2%
Iowa
2%
UTSA
2%
Virginia
2%
Notre Dame
1%
Maryland
1%
Minnesota
1%
Duke
1%
Michigan
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
West Virginia
1%
Oklahoma
1%
Ohio State
1%
Louisville
6%
TCU
<1%
Michigan State
7%
NC State
6%
Texas A&M
<1%
Arkansas
<1%
Colorado
<1%
Fairfield
<1%
Illinois
<1%
Iowa State
<1%
Syracuse
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
USC
<1%
Villanova
<1%
Missouri
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Clemson
<1%
Fairleigh Dickinson
<1%
Idaho
<1%
Miami (OH)
<1%
Oregon
<1%
Washington
<1%
UConn 68%
UCLA 14%
Texas 7.6%
Southern 6.9%
$114,577 Vol.
$114,577 Vol.
UConn
68%
UCLA
14%
Texas
8%
Southern
7%
Rhode Island
7%
James Madison
7%
Princeton
6%
Carolina del Sur
5%
Ole Miss
4%
Howard
4%
Baylor
3%
Carolina del Norte
3%
High Point
3%
Oklahoma State
3%
Kentucky
3%
Georgia
3%
Vermont
2%
LSU
2%
Alabama
2%
Iowa
2%
UTSA
2%
Virginia
2%
Notre Dame
1%
Maryland
1%
Minnesota
1%
Duke
1%
Michigan
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
West Virginia
1%
Oklahoma
1%
Ohio State
1%
Louisville
6%
TCU
<1%
Michigan State
7%
NC State
6%
Texas A&M
<1%
Arkansas
<1%
Colorado
<1%
Fairfield
<1%
Illinois
<1%
Iowa State
<1%
Syracuse
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
USC
<1%
Villanova
<1%
Missouri
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Clemson
<1%
Fairleigh Dickinson
<1%
Idaho
<1%
Miami (OH)
<1%
Oregon
<1%
Washington
<1%
If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Mercado abierto: Oct 31, 2025, 7:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...UConn's commanding 68% implied probability in the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament market reflects their recruiting dominance, headlined by the nation's top-rated 2025 class featuring McDonald's All-American Sarah Strong and four other top-25 signees, bolstering an already deep roster under Geno Auriemma. UCLA trails at 14% on momentum from their Elite Eight run and strong 2025 commitments like five-star guards, positioning them as West Coast threats. Texas (7.6%) and Louisville (5.8%) benefit from portal additions and top-10 recruiting hauls, while USC and Ohio State (both 5.5%) leverage returning talent and favorable schedules. Recent high school All-American pledges to UConn and UCLA have widened the gap, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing dynasty potential over one-off upsets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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