Michigan edges Arizona as trader consensus leader at 20% implied probability for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, fueled by Dusty May's hire and a top-10 recruiting class anchoring returners like Nimari Burnett, but Duke's elite freshman pipeline keeps it within striking distance. The bunched odds reflect offseason parity, with top contenders like Florida, Houston, and Illinois reloading via transfer portal hauls and McDonald's All-Americans—Duke and Houston crack the top-three 2025 classes—offsetting NBA departures and restoring elite talent depth. No program dominates returning production or boasts an unbeatable schedule edge yet, amplifying uncertainty as non-conference tests and Big Ten/SEC gauntlets loom, mirroring crowded futures markets prone to momentum swings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMichigan 21%
Arizona 19.8%
Duke 17%
Florida 9.2%
$21,220,818 Vol.
$21,220,818 Vol.
Michigan
21%
Arizona
20%
Duke
17%
Florida
9%
Houston
7%
Illinois
4%
Iowa State
4%
Purdue
4%
Connecticut
3%
Michigan State
3%
Arkansas
2%
St John's
2%
Texas
2%
Gonzaga
2%
UCLA
1%
Kansas
1%
Tennessee
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Virginia
1%
Nebraska
1%
Alabama
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
VCU
<1%
TCU
<1%
High Point
<1%
Louisville
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Michigan 21%
Arizona 19.8%
Duke 17%
Florida 9.2%
$21,220,818 Vol.
$21,220,818 Vol.
Michigan
21%
Arizona
20%
Duke
17%
Florida
9%
Houston
7%
Illinois
4%
Iowa State
4%
Purdue
4%
Connecticut
3%
Michigan State
3%
Arkansas
2%
St John's
2%
Texas
2%
Gonzaga
2%
UCLA
1%
Kansas
1%
Tennessee
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Virginia
1%
Nebraska
1%
Alabama
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
VCU
<1%
TCU
<1%
High Point
<1%
Louisville
<1%
Utah State
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Mercado abierto: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan edges Arizona as trader consensus leader at 20% implied probability for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, fueled by Dusty May's hire and a top-10 recruiting class anchoring returners like Nimari Burnett, but Duke's elite freshman pipeline keeps it within striking distance. The bunched odds reflect offseason parity, with top contenders like Florida, Houston, and Illinois reloading via transfer portal hauls and McDonald's All-Americans—Duke and Houston crack the top-three 2025 classes—offsetting NBA departures and restoring elite talent depth. No program dominates returning production or boasts an unbeatable schedule edge yet, amplifying uncertainty as non-conference tests and Big Ten/SEC gauntlets loom, mirroring crowded futures markets prone to momentum swings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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