Michigan's blockbuster hire of Dusty May from FAU, paired with elite transfer portal additions like Nick Boyd and D.J. Wagner, has propelled them to 18.5% implied probability for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, nipping at Arizona's heels after the Wildcats' top-ranked 2025 recruiting class and key returners like K.J. Lewis. Duke's 17.5% share stems from Cooper Flagg anchoring the nation's No. 1 freshman haul, fueling trader consensus on Blue Devils' reload. This top-three bunching reflects offseason parity—no team dominates via transfers or high school talent—with Florida and Houston lurking via strong retentions, underscoring early futures' volatility ahead of non-conference tests and Big Ten/ACC grind.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoArizona 19.1%
Michigan 19%
Duke 18%
Florida 9.4%
$21,680,788 Vol.
$21,680,788 Vol.
Arizona
19%
Michigan
19%
Duke
18%
Florida
9%
Houston
7%
Purdue
5%
Iowa State
4%
Illinois
4%
Connecticut
3%
Arkansas
3%
Michigan State
2%
St John's
2%
Gonzaga
1%
Kansas
1%
Virginia
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Miami (FL)
1%
UCLA
1%
Tennessee
1%
Alabama
1%
Louisville
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Nebraska
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
Iowa
<1%
UCF
<1%
Northern Iowa
<1%
High Point
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Missouri
<1%
VCU
<1%
Texas
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Queens
<1%
Arizona 19.1%
Michigan 19%
Duke 18%
Florida 9.4%
$21,680,788 Vol.
$21,680,788 Vol.
Arizona
19%
Michigan
19%
Duke
18%
Florida
9%
Houston
7%
Purdue
5%
Iowa State
4%
Illinois
4%
Connecticut
3%
Arkansas
3%
Michigan State
2%
St John's
2%
Gonzaga
1%
Kansas
1%
Virginia
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Miami (FL)
1%
UCLA
1%
Tennessee
1%
Alabama
1%
Louisville
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Nebraska
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
Iowa
<1%
UCF
<1%
Northern Iowa
<1%
High Point
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Missouri
<1%
VCU
<1%
Texas
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Queens
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Mercado abierto: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's blockbuster hire of Dusty May from FAU, paired with elite transfer portal additions like Nick Boyd and D.J. Wagner, has propelled them to 18.5% implied probability for the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, nipping at Arizona's heels after the Wildcats' top-ranked 2025 recruiting class and key returners like K.J. Lewis. Duke's 17.5% share stems from Cooper Flagg anchoring the nation's No. 1 freshman haul, fueling trader consensus on Blue Devils' reload. This top-three bunching reflects offseason parity—no team dominates via transfers or high school talent—with Florida and Houston lurking via strong retentions, underscoring early futures' volatility ahead of non-conference tests and Big Ten/ACC grind.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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