With Michigan and Arizona—the lone remaining No. 1 seeds—advancing to the Final Four after dominant Elite Eight wins, trader consensus prices them nearly even at 34.5% and 32.6% implied probabilities to claim the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, underscoring stylistic parity in size, guard play, and defensive efficiency despite Michigan holding a slight edge via its top performer. Duke's upset exit last weekend vaulted both atop the market, while Illinois (18.3%) leverages its elite offense averaging 83.8 points against UConn's stingy defense in the other semifinal. UConn (13.8%) draws on recent Final Four experience but faces hurdles from prior losses to Illinois, fueling the bunched odds amid no major injuries or rest disparities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMichigan 35%
Arizona 32.6%
Illinois 18.3%
Connecticut 13.8%
$24,864,743 Vol.
$24,864,743 Vol.
Michigan
35%
Arizona
33%
Illinois
18%
Connecticut
14%
Michigan 35%
Arizona 32.6%
Illinois 18.3%
Connecticut 13.8%
$24,864,743 Vol.
$24,864,743 Vol.
Michigan
35%
Arizona
33%
Illinois
18%
Connecticut
14%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Mercado abierto: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
With Michigan and Arizona—the lone remaining No. 1 seeds—advancing to the Final Four after dominant Elite Eight wins, trader consensus prices them nearly even at 34.5% and 32.6% implied probabilities to claim the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, underscoring stylistic parity in size, guard play, and defensive efficiency despite Michigan holding a slight edge via its top performer. Duke's upset exit last weekend vaulted both atop the market, while Illinois (18.3%) leverages its elite offense averaging 83.8 points against UConn's stingy defense in the other semifinal. UConn (13.8%) draws on recent Final Four experience but faces hurdles from prior losses to Illinois, fueling the bunched odds amid no major injuries or rest disparities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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