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Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026

Market icon

Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026

Michigan 35%

Arizona 32.6%

Illinois 18.3%

Connecticut 13.8%

Polymarket

$24,864,743 Vol.

Michigan 35%

Arizona 32.6%

Illinois 18.3%

Connecticut 13.8%

Polymarket

$24,864,743 Vol.

Michigan

$1,432,246 Vol.

35%

Arizona

$1,820,483 Vol.

33%

Illinois

$1,830,258 Vol.

18%

Connecticut

$3,068,784 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.With Michigan and Arizona—the lone remaining No. 1 seeds—advancing to the Final Four after dominant Elite Eight wins, trader consensus prices them nearly even at 34.5% and 32.6% implied probabilities to claim the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, underscoring stylistic parity in size, guard play, and defensive efficiency despite Michigan holding a slight edge via its top performer. Duke's upset exit last weekend vaulted both atop the market, while Illinois (18.3%) leverages its elite offense averaging 83.8 points against UConn's stingy defense in the other semifinal. UConn (13.8%) draws on recent Final Four experience but faces hurdles from prior losses to Illinois, fueling the bunched odds amid no major injuries or rest disparities.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volumen
$24,864,743
Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.With Michigan and Arizona—the lone remaining No. 1 seeds—advancing to the Final Four after dominant Elite Eight wins, trader consensus prices them nearly even at 34.5% and 32.6% implied probabilities to claim the 2026 NCAA Tournament title, underscoring stylistic parity in size, guard play, and defensive efficiency despite Michigan holding a slight edge via its top performer. Duke's upset exit last weekend vaulted both atop the market, while Illinois (18.3%) leverages its elite offense averaging 83.8 points against UConn's stingy defense in the other semifinal. UConn (13.8%) draws on recent Final Four experience but faces hurdles from prior losses to Illinois, fueling the bunched odds amid no major injuries or rest disparities.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Volumen
$24,864,743
Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 70+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Michigan" con 35%, seguido de "Arizona" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026" ha generado $24.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 31, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026", explora los 70+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026" es "Michigan" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Arizona" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador del torneo de la NCAA 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.