With Elite Eight games tipping off March 28, trader consensus crowns Arizona the slight leader at 27% implied probability after their dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, extending a 12-game tournament win streak amid a 35-2 season. Michigan (23.5%) and Duke (22%) trail closely as fellow No. 1 seeds, buoyed by the Wolverines' narrow hold-off of Alabama and Blue Devils' gritty 80-75 comeback over St. John's, leveraging 34-3 and 35-2 records respectively. Illinois (13.6%) surges on a 65-55 upset of Houston, facing Cinderella-run Iowa, while Purdue and UConn linger at 5.5%. Tight top odds reflect surviving elite seeds' balanced paths, recent momentum, and March Madness' upset-prone single-elimination chaos.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoArizona 27.1%
Michigan 24%
Duke 22%
Illinois 13.6%
$22,258,932 Vol.
$22,258,932 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
24%
Duke
22%
Illinois
14%
Connecticut
6%
Purdue
6%
Tennessee
2%
Iowa
2%
Arizona 27.1%
Michigan 24%
Duke 22%
Illinois 13.6%
$22,258,932 Vol.
$22,258,932 Vol.
Arizona
27%
Michigan
24%
Duke
22%
Illinois
14%
Connecticut
6%
Purdue
6%
Tennessee
2%
Iowa
2%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Mercado abierto: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Elite Eight games tipping off March 28, trader consensus crowns Arizona the slight leader at 27% implied probability after their dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, extending a 12-game tournament win streak amid a 35-2 season. Michigan (23.5%) and Duke (22%) trail closely as fellow No. 1 seeds, buoyed by the Wolverines' narrow hold-off of Alabama and Blue Devils' gritty 80-75 comeback over St. John's, leveraging 34-3 and 35-2 records respectively. Illinois (13.6%) surges on a 65-55 upset of Houston, facing Cinderella-run Iowa, while Purdue and UConn linger at 5.5%. Tight top odds reflect surviving elite seeds' balanced paths, recent momentum, and March Madness' upset-prone single-elimination chaos.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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